Editor’s Note: We often get comments about Michael Snyder’s article claiming he is a fearmonger or a “Chicken Little.” Sometimes, I agree. But this article sounds an alarm about developments in the Middle East and Eastern Europe that are getting sparse attention in both legacy media as well as alternative media. As America First patriots, we take the stance that if it’s not our problem we shouldn’t get involved. In both of the situations detailed below, it is possible that we could get sucked in even with peace-loving President Trump in the Oval Office…
(End of the American Dream)—This is the moment when humanity will choose between peace and global war. Sadly, it appears that our window of opportunity to choose peace is rapidly closing. Negotiations with Iran have not made much progress, and the Trump administration is warning that it is ready to “walk away” from negotiations to end the war in Ukraine if the Russians and the Ukrainians do not agree to the seven point deal that is now being proposed.
We really have reached one of the most critical turning points in human history, but most people living in the western world do not seem to understand the importance of the drama that is playing out right in front of our eyes.
On Wednesday, Vice-President J.D. Vance said something that should chill all of us to the core…
“We’ve issued a very explicit proposal to both the Russians and the Ukrainians, and it’s time for them to either say yes, or for the United States to walk away from this process,” Vance told reporters in India, where he is on a four-day visit.
Vance spoke as envoys from Washington, Kyiv and European nations gathered for talks in the U.K. amid a new U.S. push to end Russia’s war in Ukraine.
“It’s now time, I think, to take, if not the final step, one of the final steps, which is, at a broad level, the party saying we’re going to stop the killing, we’re going to freeze the territorial lines at some level close to where they are today,” Vance added. “Now, of course, that means the Ukrainians and the Russians are both going to have to give up some of the territory they currently own.”
This ultimatum is very similar to an ultimatum that was issued by U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio last week.
It is obvious that the Trump administration is quickly losing patience with the Russians and the Ukrainians, but U.S. officials are willing to take one last shot at a peace agreement.
According to Axios, the following are five things that Russia would get from President Trump’s seven point peace plan…
- “De jure” U.S. recognition of Russian control in Crimea.
- “De-facto recognition” of the Russia’s occupation of nearly all of Luhansk oblast and the occupied portions of Donetsk, Kherson and Zaporizhzhia.
- A promise that Ukraine will not become a member of NATO. The text notes that Ukraine could become part of the European Union.
- The lifting of sanctions imposed since 2014.
- Enhanced economic cooperation with the U.S., particularly in the energy and industrial sectors.
And the following are four things that Ukraine would get from President Trump’s seven point peace plan…
- “A robust security guarantee” involving an ad hoc group of European countries and potentially also like-minded non-European countries. The document is vague in terms of how this peacekeeping operation would function and does not mention any U.S. participation.
- The return of the small part of Kharkiv oblast Russia has occupied.
- Unimpeded passage of the Dnieper River, which runs along the front line in parts of southern Ukraine.
- Compensation and assistance for rebuilding, though the document does not say where the funding will come from.
The plan that the Trump administration is proposing is reasonable.
I would highly encourage both sides to agree to the deal.
Sadly, it appears that the Ukrainians are already rejecting it…
Ukraine will not legally recognize Russia’s occupation of Crimea under any circumstances, President Volodymyr Zelensky said during a briefing in Kyiv on April 22.
“There is nothing to talk about. This violates our Constitution. This is our territory, the territory of the people of Ukraine,” Zelensky told reporters.
The statement comes amid reports that the recognition of Crimea as Russian territory is being considered as part of a U.S.-backed proposal to end the war in Ukraine.
What in the world is he thinking?
Ukraine is losing the war.
If the war continues, Ukraine will steadily lose even more territory.
I can definitely understand why President Trump is fed up with this guy. After learning of these comments, this is what President Trump posted on his Truth Social account…
Ukrainian President, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, is boasting on the front page of The Wall Street Journal that, “Ukraine will not legally recognize the occupation of Crimea. There’s nothing to talk about here.” This statement is very harmful to the Peace Negotiations with Russia in that Crimea was lost years ago under the auspices of President Barack Hussein Obama, and is not even a point of discussion. Nobody is asking Zelenskyy to recognize Crimea as Russian Territory but, if he wants Crimea, why didn’t they fight for it eleven years ago when it was handed over to Russia without a shot being fired? The area also houses, for many years before “the Obama handover,” major Russian submarine bases. It’s inflammatory statements like Zelenskyy’s that makes it so difficult to settle this War. He has nothing to boast about! The situation for Ukraine is dire — He can have Peace or, he can fight for another three years before losing the whole Country. I have nothing to do with Russia, but have much to do with wanting to save, on average, five thousand Russian and Ukrainian soldiers a week, who are dying for no reason whatsoever. The statement made by Zelenskyy today will do nothing but prolong the “killing field,” and nobody wants that! We are very close to a Deal, but the man with “no cards to play” should now, finally, GET IT DONE. I look forward to being able to help Ukraine, and Russia, get out of this Complete and Total MESS, that would have never started if I were President!
The Ukrainians clearly do not want to end the war.
Of course the Russians do not exactly seem eager to accept what Trump is proposing either…
But spokesperson Dmitry Peskov on Tuesday said Russia was not aware of the plan’s terms, responding to a report by The Post about early details of a proposed arrangement.
“The issue of the [Ukrainian] settlement is extremely complex, of course, so it is hardly possible to set some hard deadlines and try to rush the resolution of the conflict into a shortened timeframe,” he told Russian outlet VGTRK. “This would be an exercise in futility.”
If the Trump administration decides to “walk away” from negotiations, any chance at peace with Russia is probably dead.
So what would happen then? Would we just let the Russians take as much of Ukraine as they want, or would we escalate matters?
Of course if both sides choose to escalate matters, we know what will eventually happen.
Meanwhile, the Russians have just entered into a “strategic partnership” with Iran…
Russian President Vladimir Putin has signed a law ratifying a strategic partnership treaty with Iran, Russian state news agency RIA reported on Monday.
The agreement is expected to strengthen military and diplomatic ties between Moscow and Tehran.
As part of the agreement, the two countries agreed not to provide military assistance to any third party with which the other is in hot conflict, according to the Kyiv Independent.
This is a very troubling development, because the U.S. could be at war with Iran very soon.
President Trump has repeatedly warned that if Iran does not make a deal there will be military action against Iran’s nuclear facilities.
On Wednesday, Marco Rubio said that the Iranians would be allowed to have “a civilian nuclear program” but they will not be allowed to continue to enrich uranium under any circumstances…
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio said Wednesday that US President Donald Trump is determined to prevent Iran from attaining a nuclear weapon, and would prefer to do that by negotiations as opposed to military means. However, he said the US would be willing to see Tehran have a civilian nuclear program as long as they were not enriching uranium.
“We do not want a war,” Rubio told Bari Weiss on her Honestly podcast.
“We do not want to see war. This is not a president that campaigned on starting wars. And as he said very clearly, Iran is not going to have a nuclear weapon, and he reserves every right to prevent that from happening, but he would prefer it not happen. He would prefer that there not be a need to resort to military force, either by us or anybody else. He would prefer that it’d be something that we can negotiate.”
The Iranians should take the deal that is being offered to them.
But the Iranians have already clearly stated that enriching uranium is a red line for them. There is no way that they are going to stop doing it, and so that means that war is coming.
Once the attacks on Iran’s underground nuclear facilities start, the Iranians will respond with tremendous force, and the Middle East will erupt in flames.
The Iranians have some “surprises” up their sleeves, but so do the Israelis.
If cooler heads do not prevail, we are going to see tremendous death and destruction in the Middle East.
And if we cannot find a way to achieve peace with the Russians, it is just a matter of time before a worst case scenario unfolds.
This is our last best chance at peace, and we must not blow it.
Michael’s new book entitled “10 Prophetic Events That Are Coming Next” is available in paperback and for the Kindle on Amazon.com, and you can subscribe to his Substack newsletter at michaeltsnyder.substack.com.
Two Storms, One Harvest
Every food crisis in living memory has been a one-shock event. The 2008 price spike was a commodity bubble. The 2020 shortages were a logistics failure. The 2022 grain scare was a war on one exporter’s ports. Each time, the system bent, adjusted, and recovered, and each time the experts assured us afterward that global markets are simply too big and too diversified to fail.
What nobody in Washington seems eager to discuss is that 2026 is shaping up to be something the modern food system has never actually faced. Two independent shocks, one climatic and one geopolitical, are converging on the same harvest cycle at the same time. Not sequentially. Simultaneously.
Start with the weather. The Pacific Ocean is currently building toward what forecasters now openly call a record event. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center puts the odds of at least a strong El Niño near 88 percent, with roughly two in three odds it reaches “very strong” status, the tier reserved for perhaps three or four events in the entire satellite era. Every major global model now projects a median peak in Super El Niño territory, and most of them project it exceeding the 2015-16 event, which until now held the modern record. Sea surface anomalies were already brushing the super threshold in mid-July, months before these events normally peak. The atmosphere has already shifted into El Niño mode, and the event is forecast to crest in late fall and early winter.
This is not about “climate change.” It’s about the standard cycles of weather, and the cycle we’re currently in is one that has likely devastated societies in the past. We’re better prepared as a society today, but not all Americans are equally prepared.
Serious households have started doing the quiet math on their own. Grocery bills tell part of the story, and the forecast maps tell the rest, which is why long-term food storage has moved from fringe hobby to mainstream line item in the family budget, with established suppliers like Heaven’s Harvest seeing demand from people who five years ago would have rolled their eyes at the idea. That instinct is not paranoia. It is pattern recognition, and the pattern is worth walking through carefully.
Editor’s Note: Heaven’s Harvest IS a sponsor, but the warnings of this article are real and would be written even if we didn’t have a survival food sponsor. With that said, those who take advantage of what they offer can use promo code “Patriot” for 15% off.
The Fertilizer Clock Is Already Running
While the Pacific warms, the second shock has been unfolding in the Strait of Hormuz. The conflict with Iran turned the world’s most important energy chokepoint into a contested waterway, and the consequences reach far beyond the gas pump. Roughly a third of global fertilizer trade moves through Hormuz, and the disruption sent urea prices up 86 percent year over year by March, with a 53 percent jump in a single month.
The World Bank projects energy prices rising about 24 percent in 2026 and fertilizer about 31 percent. By its own accounting, fertilizer prices ran 35 percent higher in the first five months of this year than the same period last year.
Here is the mechanism the nightly news will not explain. Fertilizer is not a grocery item. It is a time-delayed input. The nitrogen a farmer in Iowa or Punjab could not afford to apply this spring does not show up as a problem this spring. It shows up as a thinner harvest six to twelve months later.
The World Bank’s own food security brief concedes that the effects of reduced applications earlier this season “are likely to become visible only later in harvest outcomes.” Translate that from institutional language into plain English and it means this. The damage is already done, it is already in the ground, and we are simply waiting for it to arrive on the shelf.
Now check the calendar. Six to twelve months from the spring planting season lands us squarely in late 2026 and early 2027. Which is precisely when the strongest El Niño in the instrumental record is forecast to peak, bringing its signature droughts to Southeast Asia, Australia, southern Africa, northern Brazil, and South Asia, the very regions that grow the world’s rice, sugar, and oilseeds.
The World Bank warns openly that a strong El Niño “could disrupt multiple crop belts simultaneously” on top of the conflict-driven input costs. Their baseline projection assumes the Middle East disruptions ease by autumn. What in the last two years of Middle East history suggests that assumption is safe?
The System Has No Slack Left
The comfortable answer is that global markets always adjust. But adjustment requires slack, and the slack is gone. Global cereal production is expected to decline from last year’s records even before El Niño does its work. The UN World Food Programme, hardly a den of right-wing preppers, is calling this the most significant disruption to its supply chains since Covid and the invasion of Ukraine, and its supply chain director put the stakes bluntly.
Today’s supply chain challenges are tomorrow’s hunger crisis.
There is also a political dimension that markets cannot price. When food gets scarce, governments do not behave like economists. They behave like politicians. Export bans, hoarding mandates, and panic buying at the national level turned the modest rice shortfall of 2008 into a global crisis, and analysts are already warning that import-dependent nations are the first dominoes.
The 2015-16 Super El Niño, a far weaker event than what is now forecast, threw tens of millions into food stress across Africa and Asia. This one is projected to be stronger, and it arrives with fertilizer already rationed by price and shipping lanes already contested by missiles.
What Joseph Knew
Scripture does not treat preparation for lean years as faithlessness. It treats it as wisdom delivered in advance to those willing to act on it.
Behold, there come seven years of great plenty throughout all the land of Egypt: And there shall arise after them seven years of famine; and all the plenty shall be forgotten in the land of Egypt.
Joseph did not respond to that warning with a hashtag or a committee. He stored grain during the years of abundance, and when the famine came, Egypt stood while its neighbors begged. The lesson is not that famine is certain. It is that the time to prepare is precisely when preparation still looks optional.
Nobody who filled a pantry in a year of plenty has ever regretted it, and nobody standing in an empty aisle has ever been glad he waited for certainty.
None of this calls for panic, and panic is the enemy of sound judgment anyway. It calls for the same unglamorous prudence our grandparents considered ordinary. Keep some cash margin, know your local growers, and put real food in deep storage while it is cheap and available, because the entire arc of this story is that cheap and available is a closing window.
Families looking for a straightforward place to start can visit Heaven’s Harvest and use promo code Patriot for 15 percent off long-term storable food. The forecasts may yet soften, the strait may yet reopen, and we should pray they do. But hope is a fine thing to hold and a foolish thing to eat.
I find it amazing that so many Americans wonder why they are distrusted and disliked.
What was that statement, echoing out of the past? Ah yes!
Make Peace, You Fools!
Before the Maidan Coup of 2014, Ukraine held some impressive cards. They could have enjoyed record economic growth and prosperity. They chose poorly.
Now there is only a prayer’s chance for peace. Take it!
Supposedly, back around 2014, Ukraine was doing some ethnic cleansing of Russians in the now Russian-occupied regions. That, and NATO expansion to the Russian border from Finland to the Black Sea, and Ukraine’s NATO aspirations are what prompted Russia to invade in the first place.
No one wants to talk about Ukrainian money laundering, human trafficking, and their bio labs. Zelensky is the biggest roadblock to sensible negotiations and peace. He’s a panhandler, show boater, liar, and enjoys portraying himself as a victim. He does not want a cease fire. He loves his ninja duds.
As for Iran, their “Revolutionary Guard” regime is run by the Ayatollah and a gang of Mullahs who hate America and want Israel annihilated. They’ve repeatedly proven that they’re not going to stop enriching Uranium, and they’re not going to stop exporting terror via Hamas, Hezbollah, and the Houthis.
Any meaningful change in either country will have to come from within.
Please refer to Ezekiel Chapter 38 and Chapter 39, This is the answer and WILL happen soon…
The article seems to be saying that all of humanity the world over is on the brink of destruction based on failed negotiations between communist Russia and its breakaway neighbor Ukraine. While this could be the cradle of development for the Ezekiel 38-39 battle of Gog and Magog when Russia attacks Israel, there are plenty of other flashpoint conflicts around the world all coming together to fulfill the great distress of nations spoken of in Matthew 24.
My fellow American todays head lines all in a Very
GOOD BOOK
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WTFU
GOD Has a since of TIMING
In ALL THINGS
Bend the Knee
PRAY
PSALM 91
All the EVILS
The Master of LIES
TELLS
ARE WELL ARTICULATED
PSALM 91
Written to
YOU
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FYI THE UR-ANUS
Is the reason talking head fired from FOX
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Use’s the two very COLD natural RIVERS
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Hilarious that USA says “Iran can’t have nukes, only who we say we can” I’m no fan of Iran but USA needs to stop acting like it’s a global cop and dorm mom.
The agreement does not ask for Ukraine to recognize Crimea as Russian, it only declares that is how The US will see it. Very important distinction.
Snyder dude really knows how to promote himself.
I stopped at ‘even with peace-loving President Trump in the Oval Office…’. Peace ? My arse.
Trump to Iran – No nukes, no nothing or we bomb you.
Trump to any country (except Russia) – do as we say or we bomb you.
Trump thinks he is a big bully and no one can stand against America.
He has been very badly advised.
I will make a prediction – America is going to get completely destroyed.
When this gets really serious China or Russia will destroy America.
That is what Trump has been placed to do.
Funny that when it comes to promising to make war on another country our leaders are very eager to keep that promise in obedience to their masters, the MIC and Israel. Now to fulfill the promise of “no tax on Social Security” not a peep! During Trump’s first term when they passed the tax cut for the wealthy, Trump, Paul Ryan, McConnell and others were jumping for joy. It was one big celebration. My recent COLA increase for SS was $20.00.
Back in the day when North Korea was developing nuclear weapons I don’t recall much neoCON frenzy.
Why? Because “Israel” doesn’t much give a hoot about North Korea.
The largest land mass country in the Solar System and Putin keeps looking West. He should seal the borders, keep Crimea and open the East for settlement. Western civilization is being destroyed by the Woke and Third World immigration. Now is his opportunity to create a truly modern society unlike no other.