Two gargantuan caveats must accompany every story about polling results.
First, establishment pollsters have a recent history of extreme inaccuracy. And second, their errors have all tended to favor Democratic presidential nominees, which suggests at least the possibility of design.
With that in mind, former President Donald Trump received even better news than expected from a New York Times/Siena College poll released on Sunday, which showed him holding a one-point lead nationwide over Vice President Kamala Harris ahead of their presidential debate in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, on Tuesday.
One Times writer called the result “surprising” but also noted that it could signal a shift toward Trump. […]
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