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New Vegas Odds on the California Governor’s Race Favor One Candidate and It’s Not Even Close

by NY Post
May 17, 2026
in Aggregated, News
NY Post

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In this New York Post article, the 2026 California governor’s race is framed as increasingly volatile, with betting markets and the state’s top-two primary system creating fresh uncertainty for Democrats.

  • Prediction markets now show Xavier Becerra as the betting favorite to become California’s next governor, with Tom Steyer also near the top.
  • The race has been scrambled by California’s unusual top-two “jungle primary,” where the two highest vote-getters advance regardless of party.
  • Republicans Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco have benefited from a more consolidated GOP lane while Democrats remain divided among several candidates.
  • Hilton has received President Trump’s endorsement, which could help him with Republican voters but may also complicate his appeal in deep-blue California.
  • The article notes growing Democratic concern that a split field could produce an unexpected November matchup.
  • Becerra’s rise reflects both his statewide name recognition and the lack of a dominant Democratic candidate after months of churn.
  • Steyer’s wealth gives him the ability to remain competitive, though money alone has not guaranteed voter enthusiasm.
  • Katie Porter, once viewed as a major contender, appears to have lost momentum as the field has shifted.
  • The race remains fluid heading toward the June 2, 2026 primary, with undecided voters and market swings still capable of reshaping the contest.

Read the full story: https://nypost.com/2026/05/17/us-news/2026-california-governors-race-odds-favorites-amid-primary-push/



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