(End of the American Dream)—War is at the door. On Friday, last ditch talks will be held in Oman, but nobody is really expecting anything to come out of them. The U.S. wants Iran to end all nuclear enrichment, limit the range of their missiles, end the funding of proxies throughout the Middle East, and stop killing protesters. Needless to say, the Iranians are not going to agree to any of that. So it appears that a major conflict is about to erupt, and it is going to look much different from the 12 Day War. The Iranians have been feverishly rebuilding their missile arsenal, and now it is larger and more sophisticated than ever before. In fact, they just publicly unveiled the Khorramshahr-4 which is the “most advanced long-range ballistic missile” that they possess…
Iran’s state-run Press TV announced that Iran has deployed its “most advanced long-range ballistic missile,” the Khorramshahr 4, in one of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps’s (IRGC) underground “missile cities” on Thursday.
The deployment of the missile comes as the IRGC shifts from a defensive position to an offensive position, Press TV said, adding that the pivot “carries a clear message to regional and extra-regional adversaries.”
The Khorramshahr-4 ballistic missile is a very serious weapon.
It has a range of approximately 2,000 kilometers, and it can travel at speeds that are absolutely blistering…
During the unveiling of a new missile city operated by the Aerospace Force of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) on Tuesday night, the Khorramshahr-4 ballistic missile was seen among the operational systems deployed at the site—an event observers describe as signaling a new phase in Iran’s deterrence strategy.
According to the information released, the Khorramshahr-4 has a range of about 2,000 kilometers and carries a 1,500-kilogram warhead, making it one of Iran’s heaviest operational ballistic missiles. Its reported accuracy is around 30 meters, while its speed reaches up to Mach 16 outside the atmosphere and Mach 8 within it, significantly reducing the reaction time of enemy air-defense systems.
The missile is equipped with a maneuverable reentry vehicle (MaRV), mid-course guidance, a reduced radar cross-section, and high resistance to electronic warfare. Analysts say this combination of features substantially enhances its penetration capability against missile-defense networks.
Older Iranian missiles were relatively easy for our anti-missile systems to intercept.
But the Khorramshahr-4 is a completely different animal.
We are being told that it is so fast that it can travel from Iran to Israel in about 10 minutes…
If Khorramshahr-4 missiles are launched at major Israeli cities, they will do a tremendous amount of damage even if they are just carrying conventional warheads.
But what if they are actually carrying something else instead?
Iran International reported late last year that the IRGC was “developing biological and chemical warheads for the country’s long-range ballistic missiles”…
Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) is developing biological and chemical warheads for the country’s long-range ballistic missiles, informed military sources told Iran International on Sunday.
The IRGC Aerospace Force is working on the unconventional warheads for ballistic missiles as it transfers missile launchers to eastern regions of Iran, the sources said.
The sources, who requested anonymity due to the sensitivity of the matter, said these activities have accelerated in recent months and are being pursued amid rising regional tensions and Tehran’s concerns about the possibility of another direct confrontation with Israel and the United States.
If biological or chemical weapons are used against major Israeli cities, what do you think the response will be?
It doesn’t take much imagination to figure that one out.
There is also the possibility that the Iranians could use their long-range ballistic missiles to deliver dirty bombs.
The regime in Tehran understands that their survival will be on the line if a major war breaks out, and so they will likely throw everything that they have got in their arsenal at us.
In addition to fearsome new missiles, it is also being reported that China has given Iran highly advanced radar systems that can actually track stealth aircraft…
A war with Iran would not be easy.
I hope that those that are running our military understand this.
On Thursday, the White House once again warned that war is an option if negotiations fail…
The White House warned on Thursday that Washington has other options if diplomacy with Iran fails.
“While these negotiations are taking place, I would remind the Iranian regime that the President has many options at his disposal, aside from diplomacy, as the Commander in Chief of the most powerful military in the history of the world,” Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt said.
I think that the Trump administration realizes that the negotiations aren’t going anywhere.
I think that they are taking part in these talks to show that they tried to do things peacefully.
Ultimately, what the White House wants to do is to solve the Iran problem for good.
This is something that Vice-President JD Vance talked about during a recent interview…
‘But fundamentally, three years down the road, the president is likely, as he said, to leave the Oval Office. Who is the next president? Maybe you get a crazy person in there who doesn’t care about Iran having a nuclear weapon.’ The Vice President said that Trump wants ‘to create the long term situation that ensures and confirms Iran doesn’t get a nuclear weapon.’
The only way to guarantee that Iran will not get a nuclear weapon is to bring down the regime in Tehran.
If the Trump administration wants to make that happen, it will have to move fast.
Because if the Democrats take control of Congress in the mid-term elections, President Trump will have a lot less flexibility in 2027 and 2028.
But will rushing to attack Iran cause a major regional conflict to erupt?
This is something that Iranian leaders have warned about, and now Hezbollah has issued a similar warning…
The political wing of Hezbollah in Lebanon’s parliament warned that any US attack on Iran would trigger a wider regional war.
“Iran’s firm and resilient stance will enable it to withstand any potential aggression,” the Loyalty to the Resistance bloc said, adding that if the United States launched a war, it would be unable to control the consequences and the conflict would engulf the Middle East.
Speaking of Hezbollah, Israel just conducted another wave of airstrikes on a number of highly sensitive targets throughout Lebanon…
Several underground Hezbollah weapon storage sites were hit in a wave of Israeli airstrikes across Lebanon, the IDF says.
According to the IDF, the targeted tunnel shafts were located at Hezbollah sites in the Marjaayoun area of southern Lebanon, near Baalbek in the eastern Beqaa Valley, and in the Hermel area of northern Lebanon.
The military says that in recent months it has identified Hezbollah activity at the sites, which it says “constitutes a violation of the understandings between Israel and Lebanon.”
Everything that has happened in the Middle East for the last several decades has been building up to this.
Now a final showdown with Iran is looming, and once the missiles start flying there will be no turning back.
Interestingly, Shia Islam teaches that the Mahdi will reappear during a great war.
So the Iranians may actually be looking forward to the coming conflict because they may be convinced that it will cause the 12th Imam to show up.
The Iranians see the world far differently than we do, and we should not underestimate what they are capable of doing.
Michael’s new book entitled “10 Prophetic Events That Are Coming Next” is available in paperback and for the Kindle on Amazon.com, and you can subscribe to his Substack newsletter at michaeltsnyder.substack.com.
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Two Storms, One Harvest
Every food crisis in living memory has been a one-shock event. The 2008 price spike was a commodity bubble. The 2020 shortages were a logistics failure. The 2022 grain scare was a war on one exporter’s ports. Each time, the system bent, adjusted, and recovered, and each time the experts assured us afterward that global markets are simply too big and too diversified to fail.
What nobody in Washington seems eager to discuss is that 2026 is shaping up to be something the modern food system has never actually faced. Two independent shocks, one climatic and one geopolitical, are converging on the same harvest cycle at the same time. Not sequentially. Simultaneously.
Start with the weather. The Pacific Ocean is currently building toward what forecasters now openly call a record event. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center puts the odds of at least a strong El Niño near 88 percent, with roughly two in three odds it reaches “very strong” status, the tier reserved for perhaps three or four events in the entire satellite era. Every major global model now projects a median peak in Super El Niño territory, and most of them project it exceeding the 2015-16 event, which until now held the modern record. Sea surface anomalies were already brushing the super threshold in mid-July, months before these events normally peak. The atmosphere has already shifted into El Niño mode, and the event is forecast to crest in late fall and early winter.
This is not about “climate change.” It’s about the standard cycles of weather, and the cycle we’re currently in is one that has likely devastated societies in the past. We’re better prepared as a society today, but not all Americans are equally prepared.
Serious households have started doing the quiet math on their own. Grocery bills tell part of the story, and the forecast maps tell the rest, which is why long-term food storage has moved from fringe hobby to mainstream line item in the family budget, with established suppliers like Heaven’s Harvest seeing demand from people who five years ago would have rolled their eyes at the idea. That instinct is not paranoia. It is pattern recognition, and the pattern is worth walking through carefully.
Editor’s Note: Heaven’s Harvest IS a sponsor, but the warnings of this article are real and would be written even if we didn’t have a survival food sponsor. With that said, those who take advantage of what they offer can use promo code “Patriot” for 15% off.
The Fertilizer Clock Is Already Running
While the Pacific warms, the second shock has been unfolding in the Strait of Hormuz. The conflict with Iran turned the world’s most important energy chokepoint into a contested waterway, and the consequences reach far beyond the gas pump. Roughly a third of global fertilizer trade moves through Hormuz, and the disruption sent urea prices up 86 percent year over year by March, with a 53 percent jump in a single month.
The World Bank projects energy prices rising about 24 percent in 2026 and fertilizer about 31 percent. By its own accounting, fertilizer prices ran 35 percent higher in the first five months of this year than the same period last year.
Here is the mechanism the nightly news will not explain. Fertilizer is not a grocery item. It is a time-delayed input. The nitrogen a farmer in Iowa or Punjab could not afford to apply this spring does not show up as a problem this spring. It shows up as a thinner harvest six to twelve months later.
The World Bank’s own food security brief concedes that the effects of reduced applications earlier this season “are likely to become visible only later in harvest outcomes.” Translate that from institutional language into plain English and it means this. The damage is already done, it is already in the ground, and we are simply waiting for it to arrive on the shelf.
Now check the calendar. Six to twelve months from the spring planting season lands us squarely in late 2026 and early 2027. Which is precisely when the strongest El Niño in the instrumental record is forecast to peak, bringing its signature droughts to Southeast Asia, Australia, southern Africa, northern Brazil, and South Asia, the very regions that grow the world’s rice, sugar, and oilseeds.
The World Bank warns openly that a strong El Niño “could disrupt multiple crop belts simultaneously” on top of the conflict-driven input costs. Their baseline projection assumes the Middle East disruptions ease by autumn. What in the last two years of Middle East history suggests that assumption is safe?
The System Has No Slack Left
The comfortable answer is that global markets always adjust. But adjustment requires slack, and the slack is gone. Global cereal production is expected to decline from last year’s records even before El Niño does its work. The UN World Food Programme, hardly a den of right-wing preppers, is calling this the most significant disruption to its supply chains since Covid and the invasion of Ukraine, and its supply chain director put the stakes bluntly.
Today’s supply chain challenges are tomorrow’s hunger crisis.
There is also a political dimension that markets cannot price. When food gets scarce, governments do not behave like economists. They behave like politicians. Export bans, hoarding mandates, and panic buying at the national level turned the modest rice shortfall of 2008 into a global crisis, and analysts are already warning that import-dependent nations are the first dominoes.
The 2015-16 Super El Niño, a far weaker event than what is now forecast, threw tens of millions into food stress across Africa and Asia. This one is projected to be stronger, and it arrives with fertilizer already rationed by price and shipping lanes already contested by missiles.
What Joseph Knew
Scripture does not treat preparation for lean years as faithlessness. It treats it as wisdom delivered in advance to those willing to act on it.
Behold, there come seven years of great plenty throughout all the land of Egypt: And there shall arise after them seven years of famine; and all the plenty shall be forgotten in the land of Egypt.
Joseph did not respond to that warning with a hashtag or a committee. He stored grain during the years of abundance, and when the famine came, Egypt stood while its neighbors begged. The lesson is not that famine is certain. It is that the time to prepare is precisely when preparation still looks optional.
Nobody who filled a pantry in a year of plenty has ever regretted it, and nobody standing in an empty aisle has ever been glad he waited for certainty.
None of this calls for panic, and panic is the enemy of sound judgment anyway. It calls for the same unglamorous prudence our grandparents considered ordinary. Keep some cash margin, know your local growers, and put real food in deep storage while it is cheap and available, because the entire arc of this story is that cheap and available is a closing window.
Families looking for a straightforward place to start can visit Heaven’s Harvest and use promo code Patriot for 15 percent off long-term storable food. The forecasts may yet soften, the strait may yet reopen, and we should pray they do. But hope is a fine thing to hold and a foolish thing to eat.
