Anyone who has heard my opinion about polls knows that I’m not a fan. They’re simply propaganda tools used to manipulate the masses, and that’s on the best of days with so-called “unbiased” polls. But there are other polls that I hold in even lower regard: Push polls and campaign-driven polls. They are beyond worthless. They’re actually quite dangerous since most Americans don’t realize they’re completely fake.
That’s why it’s so comical that Trump-hating Fox News made a bold declaration that Florida Governor Ron DeSantis is now “closing the gap” with Donald Trump in the first caucus state, Iowa. They even not-so-subtly claimed credit for the event by noting that the bump took place after their GOP debate. But it’s all fiction. It’s wishful thinking. It’s “copium” that they can inject into their veins to ease symptoms from their Trump Derangement Syndrome (TDS).
Here’s their bold declaration:
Iowa poll shows Florida gov closing the gap on Trump after first Republican debate
Donald Trump remains on top of the polls among Republican presidential candidates, but the gap between the former president and his onetime political protégé could be narrowing following the first GOP debate.
A new poll from Public Opinion Strategies — a polling firm working for the DeSantis’ campaign — shows Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis closing in on Trump among Iowa voters. Releasing a campaign poll usually comes with an agenda or narrative and so the results should be taken with a grain of salt.
The poll, obtained by Fox News Digital, interviewed 400 Iowa likely GOP caucus-goers and included a ballot test that saw DeSantis rise from 14% support up to 21% post-debate.
At least they had the journalistic integrity to note that it was a DeSantis campaign poll, but here’s the thing. This article wasn’t intended to sway sentiment among their readers. It was intended to sway sentiment among the majority of people who will read the headline but never actually read the article. The headline doesn’t distinguish the type of poll it was. Anyone who just reads that headline will come away thinking DeSantis is closing the gab and Fox News helped.
Neither, of course, is true. The various less-biased polls (no poll is unbiased) following the debate and the handful of polls that took place after Trump was arrested in Georgia this week show Trump’s lead extending and DeSantis’s status as a distant second place in jeopardy. Some polls show he is now in third place behind Vivek Ramaswamy and two state polls have him in fourth place.
Some may try to fault the DeSantis campaign for this, but they’re just trying to do their jobs. This is a full-blown Fox News psyop intended to sway the headline-only readers into believing that DeSantis is making up lost ground. Most of their opinions hosts, nearly all of their news anchors, and the entirety of their executive leadership either hate Trump or at least prefer an alternative. This reaffirms my long-standing opinion that Fox News executives, most producers, and possibly some of their hosts were aware of the theft of the 2020 election… and some were directly involved. But that’s an accusation to flesh out some other time.
Sound off about this article on my Substack.
Two Storms, One Harvest
Every food crisis in living memory has been a one-shock event. The 2008 price spike was a commodity bubble. The 2020 shortages were a logistics failure. The 2022 grain scare was a war on one exporter’s ports. Each time, the system bent, adjusted, and recovered, and each time the experts assured us afterward that global markets are simply too big and too diversified to fail.
What nobody in Washington seems eager to discuss is that 2026 is shaping up to be something the modern food system has never actually faced. Two independent shocks, one climatic and one geopolitical, are converging on the same harvest cycle at the same time. Not sequentially. Simultaneously.
Start with the weather. The Pacific Ocean is currently building toward what forecasters now openly call a record event. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center puts the odds of at least a strong El Niño near 88 percent, with roughly two in three odds it reaches “very strong” status, the tier reserved for perhaps three or four events in the entire satellite era. Every major global model now projects a median peak in Super El Niño territory, and most of them project it exceeding the 2015-16 event, which until now held the modern record. Sea surface anomalies were already brushing the super threshold in mid-July, months before these events normally peak. The atmosphere has already shifted into El Niño mode, and the event is forecast to crest in late fall and early winter.
This is not about “climate change.” It’s about the standard cycles of weather, and the cycle we’re currently in is one that has likely devastated societies in the past. We’re better prepared as a society today, but not all Americans are equally prepared.
Serious households have started doing the quiet math on their own. Grocery bills tell part of the story, and the forecast maps tell the rest, which is why long-term food storage has moved from fringe hobby to mainstream line item in the family budget, with established suppliers like Heaven’s Harvest seeing demand from people who five years ago would have rolled their eyes at the idea. That instinct is not paranoia. It is pattern recognition, and the pattern is worth walking through carefully.
Editor’s Note: Heaven’s Harvest IS a sponsor, but the warnings of this article are real and would be written even if we didn’t have a survival food sponsor. With that said, those who take advantage of what they offer can use promo code “Patriot” for 15% off.
The Fertilizer Clock Is Already Running
While the Pacific warms, the second shock has been unfolding in the Strait of Hormuz. The conflict with Iran turned the world’s most important energy chokepoint into a contested waterway, and the consequences reach far beyond the gas pump. Roughly a third of global fertilizer trade moves through Hormuz, and the disruption sent urea prices up 86 percent year over year by March, with a 53 percent jump in a single month.
The World Bank projects energy prices rising about 24 percent in 2026 and fertilizer about 31 percent. By its own accounting, fertilizer prices ran 35 percent higher in the first five months of this year than the same period last year.
Here is the mechanism the nightly news will not explain. Fertilizer is not a grocery item. It is a time-delayed input. The nitrogen a farmer in Iowa or Punjab could not afford to apply this spring does not show up as a problem this spring. It shows up as a thinner harvest six to twelve months later.
The World Bank’s own food security brief concedes that the effects of reduced applications earlier this season “are likely to become visible only later in harvest outcomes.” Translate that from institutional language into plain English and it means this. The damage is already done, it is already in the ground, and we are simply waiting for it to arrive on the shelf.
Now check the calendar. Six to twelve months from the spring planting season lands us squarely in late 2026 and early 2027. Which is precisely when the strongest El Niño in the instrumental record is forecast to peak, bringing its signature droughts to Southeast Asia, Australia, southern Africa, northern Brazil, and South Asia, the very regions that grow the world’s rice, sugar, and oilseeds.
The World Bank warns openly that a strong El Niño “could disrupt multiple crop belts simultaneously” on top of the conflict-driven input costs. Their baseline projection assumes the Middle East disruptions ease by autumn. What in the last two years of Middle East history suggests that assumption is safe?
The System Has No Slack Left
The comfortable answer is that global markets always adjust. But adjustment requires slack, and the slack is gone. Global cereal production is expected to decline from last year’s records even before El Niño does its work. The UN World Food Programme, hardly a den of right-wing preppers, is calling this the most significant disruption to its supply chains since Covid and the invasion of Ukraine, and its supply chain director put the stakes bluntly.
Today’s supply chain challenges are tomorrow’s hunger crisis.
There is also a political dimension that markets cannot price. When food gets scarce, governments do not behave like economists. They behave like politicians. Export bans, hoarding mandates, and panic buying at the national level turned the modest rice shortfall of 2008 into a global crisis, and analysts are already warning that import-dependent nations are the first dominoes.
The 2015-16 Super El Niño, a far weaker event than what is now forecast, threw tens of millions into food stress across Africa and Asia. This one is projected to be stronger, and it arrives with fertilizer already rationed by price and shipping lanes already contested by missiles.
What Joseph Knew
Scripture does not treat preparation for lean years as faithlessness. It treats it as wisdom delivered in advance to those willing to act on it.
Behold, there come seven years of great plenty throughout all the land of Egypt: And there shall arise after them seven years of famine; and all the plenty shall be forgotten in the land of Egypt.
Joseph did not respond to that warning with a hashtag or a committee. He stored grain during the years of abundance, and when the famine came, Egypt stood while its neighbors begged. The lesson is not that famine is certain. It is that the time to prepare is precisely when preparation still looks optional.
Nobody who filled a pantry in a year of plenty has ever regretted it, and nobody standing in an empty aisle has ever been glad he waited for certainty.
None of this calls for panic, and panic is the enemy of sound judgment anyway. It calls for the same unglamorous prudence our grandparents considered ordinary. Keep some cash margin, know your local growers, and put real food in deep storage while it is cheap and available, because the entire arc of this story is that cheap and available is a closing window.
Families looking for a straightforward place to start can visit Heaven’s Harvest and use promo code Patriot for 15 percent off long-term storable food. The forecasts may yet soften, the strait may yet reopen, and we should pray they do. But hope is a fine thing to hold and a foolish thing to eat.
Fox News has demonstrated multiple times their bias against Trump, so their interpretation of the Iowa polls could be wishful thinking. Let me put it this way, Fox would not lie to the American people would they?
In NY state an outstanding citizen and her group found that there were 338,000 MORE VOTES than voters in the 2020 election —- and similar situations can be found in at least 5 or 6 other states!
Listen, just this one article alone [link below] says it all –– it will confuse the RUBES, of course, who are so frigging dunderheaded they think the limited hangout of “2000 mules” proves anything —— the same RUBES soooo easily flummoxed by the limited hangout of Mikey Mikey Lindell’s “Absolute Proof” where the crooked shyster wifey and CIA asset, Mary Fanning, had “former” crackhead Lindell claiming that standard spam pinging of web sites was hacking into them and had a bunch of MAC addressed sites routing, when MAC addresses don’t route, RUBES!
https://www DOT americanthinker DOT com/articles/2023/08/was_new_yorks_2022_general_election_valid DOT html
“2000 Mules” mules shows not a single ballot, the ballots are ASSUMED to be for Manchurian Joe —— so what’s proven other than Dinish, the globalist RINO, wants to redirect away from the voting systems/ballot scanners fraud!
For 25 years or more tech types in the Election Integrity Movement have proven time and again that the voting systems and ballot scanners are THE HACK ——— while the useful idiots for the CIA dutifully repeat their meme every election cycle:
“THE MACHINES CAN BE HACKED!” So what! The machines are THE HACK, rubes and dunderheaded fools!
The pure stupidity of this ludicrous lunacy can never be over explained! In the 2024 election — thanks to the actions taken by the former (DoD) Defense Digital Service, now CDAO, and the founding of Space Delta 18 – as Trump was exiting the White House and before Joey TransBiden came stumbling in — the election fraud will likely be external hacking, by the gov’t agencies directly! They have now successfully networked national election fraud via EI–ISAC, CISA, Fusion Centers, FirstNet, ERIC and the voting systems companies!
Was it Trotsky or Lenin who coined the term “useful idiots”? They and Grigori Voitinsky, the clever founder of the Chinese Communist Party, were sadly too right and accurate in their diabolical assessment!
COGNITIVE RECAP: Rodney Joffe was the tech guy involved in the RUSSIAGATE HOAX to overthrow the presidency and elected government —— his former employee of many years (and close associate) at Joffe’s companies Neustar and Packet Forensics is Ray Saulino, who was handed, temporarily, a HUGE CHUNK of Internet address space bewtween Jan. 15 to jan. 20, 2021. Saulino’s newly incorporated company, Global Resource Systems LLC in Florida, had their incorporation papers filed by a Beverly Hills attorney (and movie producer), who just happened to be JADE SACKER’s daddy — recall Jade Sacker, John Earle Sullivan’s sidekick from Jan. 6 at the US Capitol Building Fedsurrection?!
John Sullivan’s foster father, Lt.Col. Jack Sullivan, retired, is the ideal candidate for the J6 Operations Coordinator given his intel background in the military and later work at CIA—front outfits! And the Sullivans used to live right near Raymond Saulino in Virginia and both were involved with DARPA contract work —— now that’s a string of improbable “coincidences”!
Joffe — Saulino — Sacker — Sullivan: and we saw John Sullivan and Jade Sacker being interviewed by CIA asset Anderson Cooper (yeah, yeah, yeah, just another coincidence that Cooper, William Barr, and Renee DiResta were all CIA Fellows and interns) on the night of Jan. 6, 2021 with video streamed from the US Capitol Building by RISE IMAGES, a ghost web site run by the Ministry of State Security of communist China (said “Rise Images” in the upper right corner of the TV screens with either CNN or ABC on the TV —— later changed online to read CiscoWeb)!
And the Defense Digital Service (DoD) which temporarily handed off that chunk of Internet address space to Saulino, has been merged with the AI operation to form the CDAO, where the people aremconnected to Lyft, Lime, Uber, etc. — now isn’t that peculiar?! The companies which have been putting taxi companies out of business — where passengers can still ride anonymously, but all Uber–like pax can be easily tracked in multiple ways – are people—connected to the CDAO?!