Editor’s Note: While we agree with the facts in the article below, we question the reality of the threat that Bird Flu poses. That’s not based on any scientific information or insider knowledge. It’s a healthy skepticism to pretty much anything government does today. If they say there’s a dangerous plague coming, then chances are they have another plandemic in the works to terrify people. When Covid didn’t come close to killing the tens of millions they said it would kill in a matter of months, their fearmongering was exposed.
Author Michael Snyder does a fine job of highlighting what we’re being told. That’s important even if we don’t believe it. Not noted in the article is that there have currently been ZERO human deaths from Bird Flu. The one the World Health Organization THOUGHT happened was refuted by Mexico’s own health officials. Unfortunately, the story about the Bird Flu death got a lot more attention than the later retraction… which is how things work anymore. Some will say it’s better to be safe than sorry. I prefer to live as a free man rather than allow irrational fear to paralyze me. With that said, here’s Snyder’s story…
(End of the American Dream)—We are being told that it is just a matter of time before there is a bird flu pandemic among humans. We are also being told that the death rate during such a pandemic could be “somewhere between 25 and 50 percent”, and that should deeply alarm all of us. We have already seen the intense fear that a pandemic with a death rate of far less than 1 percent can cause. Can you imagine what a pandemic with a death rate of “somewhere between 25 and 50 percent” would look like?
Many of us don’t even want to think about going through another major pandemic. But one may be coming anyway.
Right now, many among the elite are deeply focused on the threat that the bird flu poses. An “International Bird Flu Summit” will be held in Washington D.C. from October 2nd to October 4th, and according to the official brochure for the event they will be discussing “a highly virulent strain of bird flu affecting both cattle and humans”…
Welcome to the International Bird Flu Summit, where we address the pressing concerns surrounding the recent developments in avian influenza. With the emergence of a highly virulent strain of bird flu affecting both cattle and humans, it is imperative that we come together to discuss preparedness, response strategies, and the future implications of this evolving situation.
A bird flu pandemic would be far worse than anything that we have been through so far.
On the list of topics for this summit, the very first one is “mass fatality management planning”…
- Mass Fatality Management Planning
- Surveillance and Data Management
- Preparing Communities Strategies
- Local Partnership & Participation
- Delivery of Vaccine and Antiviral Medication
- Medical Countermeasures
- Socio-Economic Impact on Poultry and livestock Industries
- Benefit-Risk Assessment: Public Health, Industry and Regulatory Perspectives
- Prevention Education Efforts and Risk Communication
- Command, Control and Management
- Emergency Response Management
- Business-Based Planning
- School-Based Planning
- Community-Based Planning
Personally, I have never heard a talk on mass fatality management planning.
I don’t suppose that such a talk would be especially cheerful.
Unfortunately, if H5N1 starts spreading widely among humans, there will be a lot of deaths.
Former CDC director Robert Redfield recently told NewsNation that he believes that a bird flu pandemic is coming and that the death rate will be “somewhere between 25 and 50 percent”…
A bird flu pandemic is inevitable – and it’s only a matter of time before it strikes, according to former Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Director Robert Redfield.
Redfield’s comments come amid mounting concerns over the detection of the virus in dozens of cattle herds across the United States and the first reported human death in Mexico.
In a recent interview with NewsNation, Redfield expressed his belief that a bird flu pandemic is a high likely. “I really do think it’s very likely that we will, at some time,” he said. “It’s not a question of if; it’s more of a question of when we will have a bird flu pandemic.” He emphasized the significant mortality rate associated with the virus, with an estimation of a mortality rate of “somewhere between 25 and 50 percent,” in contrast to the 0.6 percent death rate observed in the Covid-19 pandemic.
Over the past two years, we have already seen more than 100 million birds get wiped out.
And now mammals all over the planet are getting infected in large numbers.
So far, very few humans have caught the disease, and we should be very thankful for that.
But in early July we did learn that a farm worker has become the fourth confirmed case here in the United States…
A Colorado dairy farm worker is the nation’s fourth person to test positive for the highly contagious H5N1 bird flu virus, the Centers for Disease Control announced Wednesday.
The infected worker is employed on a dairy farm where cows tested positive for H5N1 and is the first person in Colorado to be infected by the bird flu.
The other three people who also have tested positive for the bird flu also work on dairy farms where cows tested positive for the virus.
Should we start bracing ourselves for the worst? I don’t know.
One recent study that was conducted on “humanized mice” and ferrets produced some very chilling results…
Researchers from the University of Wisconsin-Madison, Texas A&M Veterinary Medical Diagnostic Laboratory, and two Japanese universities studied how H5N1 has evolved since the March outbreak by infecting humanized mice and ferrets in experiments funded by the National Institutes of Health.
Ferrets develop similar respiratory tract infections to humans and develop similar clinical symptoms, making them good models for understanding flu transmission patterns.
When infected by directly inserting virus particles into their noses, both mice and ferrets developed respiratory symptoms.
But even though H5N1 has mutated in alarming ways, right now there is no evidence that human to human transmission is taking place.
Unfortunately, authorities in some countries are not taking any chances and have started to implement measures that are quite dramatic…
Workers at poultry and fur farms in Finland will, in the coming days, receive vaccines against bird flu. Fourteen other eu countries have signed up to procure bird-flu vaccines through a programme set up by the European Commission. America’s government has also bought vaccines in anticipation of a pandemic. And it recently commissioned Moderna, a pharmaceutical company, to create an mrna bird-flu vaccine using a technology that was effective in protecting against covid-19.
Hopefully nothing will happen.
Hopefully there will not be a bird flu pandemic.
Because after all of the pain and suffering that the last one caused, most of us don’t want to ever go through something like that ever again.
Sadly, we live at a time when scientists are playing around with the most deadly bugs ever known to humanity in secret labs all over the planet.
And once a bug gets loose, it can spread across the globe in the blink of an eye.
As my regular readers already know, I believe that worldwide pestilences will be a major theme during the years that are ahead of us.
I don’t know if the bird flu will be one of those pestilences, but I will be watching it very carefully.
Because once widespread human to human transmission of the bird flu is confirmed, everything will change.
Michael’s new book entitled “Chaos” is available in paperback and for the Kindle on Amazon.com, and you can subscribe to his Substack newsletter at michaeltsnyder.substack.com.
Two Storms, One Harvest
Every food crisis in living memory has been a one-shock event. The 2008 price spike was a commodity bubble. The 2020 shortages were a logistics failure. The 2022 grain scare was a war on one exporter’s ports. Each time, the system bent, adjusted, and recovered, and each time the experts assured us afterward that global markets are simply too big and too diversified to fail.
What nobody in Washington seems eager to discuss is that 2026 is shaping up to be something the modern food system has never actually faced. Two independent shocks, one climatic and one geopolitical, are converging on the same harvest cycle at the same time. Not sequentially. Simultaneously.
Start with the weather. The Pacific Ocean is currently building toward what forecasters now openly call a record event. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center puts the odds of at least a strong El Niño near 88 percent, with roughly two in three odds it reaches “very strong” status, the tier reserved for perhaps three or four events in the entire satellite era. Every major global model now projects a median peak in Super El Niño territory, and most of them project it exceeding the 2015-16 event, which until now held the modern record. Sea surface anomalies were already brushing the super threshold in mid-July, months before these events normally peak. The atmosphere has already shifted into El Niño mode, and the event is forecast to crest in late fall and early winter.
This is not about “climate change.” It’s about the standard cycles of weather, and the cycle we’re currently in is one that has likely devastated societies in the past. We’re better prepared as a society today, but not all Americans are equally prepared.
Serious households have started doing the quiet math on their own. Grocery bills tell part of the story, and the forecast maps tell the rest, which is why long-term food storage has moved from fringe hobby to mainstream line item in the family budget, with established suppliers like Heaven’s Harvest seeing demand from people who five years ago would have rolled their eyes at the idea. That instinct is not paranoia. It is pattern recognition, and the pattern is worth walking through carefully.
Editor’s Note: Heaven’s Harvest IS a sponsor, but the warnings of this article are real and would be written even if we didn’t have a survival food sponsor. With that said, those who take advantage of what they offer can use promo code “Patriot” for 15% off.
The Fertilizer Clock Is Already Running
While the Pacific warms, the second shock has been unfolding in the Strait of Hormuz. The conflict with Iran turned the world’s most important energy chokepoint into a contested waterway, and the consequences reach far beyond the gas pump. Roughly a third of global fertilizer trade moves through Hormuz, and the disruption sent urea prices up 86 percent year over year by March, with a 53 percent jump in a single month.
The World Bank projects energy prices rising about 24 percent in 2026 and fertilizer about 31 percent. By its own accounting, fertilizer prices ran 35 percent higher in the first five months of this year than the same period last year.
Here is the mechanism the nightly news will not explain. Fertilizer is not a grocery item. It is a time-delayed input. The nitrogen a farmer in Iowa or Punjab could not afford to apply this spring does not show up as a problem this spring. It shows up as a thinner harvest six to twelve months later.
The World Bank’s own food security brief concedes that the effects of reduced applications earlier this season “are likely to become visible only later in harvest outcomes.” Translate that from institutional language into plain English and it means this. The damage is already done, it is already in the ground, and we are simply waiting for it to arrive on the shelf.
Now check the calendar. Six to twelve months from the spring planting season lands us squarely in late 2026 and early 2027. Which is precisely when the strongest El Niño in the instrumental record is forecast to peak, bringing its signature droughts to Southeast Asia, Australia, southern Africa, northern Brazil, and South Asia, the very regions that grow the world’s rice, sugar, and oilseeds.
The World Bank warns openly that a strong El Niño “could disrupt multiple crop belts simultaneously” on top of the conflict-driven input costs. Their baseline projection assumes the Middle East disruptions ease by autumn. What in the last two years of Middle East history suggests that assumption is safe?
The System Has No Slack Left
The comfortable answer is that global markets always adjust. But adjustment requires slack, and the slack is gone. Global cereal production is expected to decline from last year’s records even before El Niño does its work. The UN World Food Programme, hardly a den of right-wing preppers, is calling this the most significant disruption to its supply chains since Covid and the invasion of Ukraine, and its supply chain director put the stakes bluntly.
Today’s supply chain challenges are tomorrow’s hunger crisis.
There is also a political dimension that markets cannot price. When food gets scarce, governments do not behave like economists. They behave like politicians. Export bans, hoarding mandates, and panic buying at the national level turned the modest rice shortfall of 2008 into a global crisis, and analysts are already warning that import-dependent nations are the first dominoes.
The 2015-16 Super El Niño, a far weaker event than what is now forecast, threw tens of millions into food stress across Africa and Asia. This one is projected to be stronger, and it arrives with fertilizer already rationed by price and shipping lanes already contested by missiles.
What Joseph Knew
Scripture does not treat preparation for lean years as faithlessness. It treats it as wisdom delivered in advance to those willing to act on it.
Behold, there come seven years of great plenty throughout all the land of Egypt: And there shall arise after them seven years of famine; and all the plenty shall be forgotten in the land of Egypt.
Joseph did not respond to that warning with a hashtag or a committee. He stored grain during the years of abundance, and when the famine came, Egypt stood while its neighbors begged. The lesson is not that famine is certain. It is that the time to prepare is precisely when preparation still looks optional.
Nobody who filled a pantry in a year of plenty has ever regretted it, and nobody standing in an empty aisle has ever been glad he waited for certainty.
None of this calls for panic, and panic is the enemy of sound judgment anyway. It calls for the same unglamorous prudence our grandparents considered ordinary. Keep some cash margin, know your local growers, and put real food in deep storage while it is cheap and available, because the entire arc of this story is that cheap and available is a closing window.
Families looking for a straightforward place to start can visit Heaven’s Harvest and use promo code Patriot for 15 percent off long-term storable food. The forecasts may yet soften, the strait may yet reopen, and we should pray they do. But hope is a fine thing to hold and a foolish thing to eat.
If government officials hype this like they did Covid, it will finish off the economy and we will see a full blown financial meltdown. Enough businesses are gone already. We must not comply to vaccines, social distancing and masking like last time.