Just as it did one hundred and sixty-five years ago, the Democrat Party appears to be making war against the federal government.
Secretary of the Treasury Scott Bessent and Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services Administrator Mehmet Oz have identified tens of billions of dollars in welfare fraud flowing through the Democrat-controlled state of Minnesota. President Trump has suggested that the level of Minnesota fraud may top a hundred billion dollars as investigations proceed.
The public is slowly learning that members of the state’s substantial population of Somali immigrants have been abusing state and federal programs to enrich themselves at the expense of American taxpayers. Fraudulent childcare centers were created to siphon federal tax dollars. Fraudulent healthcare clinics were designed to do the same. There are many signs that suggest Minneapolis is home to both a massive money laundering operation and a massive vote fraud scheme.
Because the amount of financial fraud is so high, it is difficult to believe that Somali immigrants orchestrated this massive theft on their own. Minnesota and Minneapolis have government agencies whose sole function is to seek, police, and prevent exactly these kinds of taxpayer thefts.
The idea that immigrants from across the world could arrive in Minnesota and figure out how to manipulate the existing bureaucracy to orchestrate large-scale fraud is unconvincing. It seems much more likely that government bureaucrats, elected officials, law enforcement personnel, and perhaps even judges facilitated such complex institutional fraud. If that is the case, then we are not looking at a massive welfare fraud scandal. We are looking at a government-orchestrated criminal syndicate.
Whether Minnesota governor Tim Walz and Minneapolis mayor Jacob Frey have been actively participating in this crime syndicate, we don’t yet know. It is difficult to believe that they and the people who work for them could have been totally blind to a multi-billion-dollar fraud operation being run within their jurisdictions.
That is why the governor and mayor’s hysterical responses to the presence of federal agents in Minnesota are particularly alarming. Their state has just been accused of being the home base of one of the largest immigrant-run crime rings in American history. If state and local officials have nothing to hide, then they should welcome the arrival of federal authorities. Instead, they have demonized Immigration and Customs Enforcement agents as “Nazis,” “murderers,” and “Trump’s Gestapo.”
As ICE officers and U.S. Border Patrol agents work with other federal agencies to track down criminal illegal aliens accused or convicted of rape, murder, and other violent crimes, Democrat officials in Minnesota are demanding that they leave dangerous criminals on the street. Governor Walz and Mayor Frey have repeatedly run to the cameras demanding that federal agents depart the state and allow violent felons to continue victimizing American citizens.
This is bizarre behavior and arguably a betrayal of their sworn duties to the people of Minnesota. Yet the Democrat-aligned propaganda media in the United States continue to frame violent felons as “victims” and the Democrat officials who wish to defend those felons as “civil rights heroes.”
Although local Democrat voters can be persuaded to take the side of Walz and Frey, objective Americans watching these events unfold from afar see what looks like a Minnesota-engineered rebellion against the U.S. federal government.
The idea that Minnesota Democrats are flirting with the possibility of turning Minneapolis into this century’s Fort Sumter becomes only more credible when we listen to the words coming from prominent Democrats outside of the state. Former Democrat presidents Bill Clinton and Barack Obama have both released statements in which they defend the violent actions of leftist agitators who threatened the lives of federal agents.
Both Democrat presidents have portrayed the aggressors as “victims” and the law enforcement officers as “villains.” Both Democrat presidents have called for more citizens to rise up against federal authorities intervening in the state and to harass and intimidate those federal authorities until President Trump surrenders the state to Minnesota’s lawless state and local officials.
Minnesota’s Democrat members of Congress have attempted to stir up the mob’s passions by falsely framing lethal incidents of law enforcement self-defense as federal “executions” of law-abiding citizens. Democrat politicians across the country have made similar scandalous accusations in an attempt to disseminate a false public narrative that might justify violent mob action in Minneapolis. The most prominent Democrats in Congress, gubernatorial mansions, and city halls from coast to coast are all vocally defending both violent criminal illegal aliens residing within Minnesota as well as the violent actions of Minnesota’s Democrat-aligned street mobs.
At what point do prominent Democrats’ reckless calls for armed “resistance” against federal authorities constitute a Democrat Party-marshaled insurrection against the federal government? How many federal agents must have their lives threatened before we recognize that operatives of the Democrat Party are inciting violence? How many hotels, automobiles, and federal offices do Minnesota’s mobs have to attack before we acknowledge that factions of the Democrat Party are in a state of armed rebellion?
Among the many activities on the ground in Minnesota that indicate a Democrat Party-organized rebellion against the United States is currently underway, Democrat politicians and staffers are allegedly coordinating anti-ICE resistance in real time. Investigative journalist Cam Higby successfully infiltrated private messaging groups that Democrat-aligned domestic terrorists are using to surveil, identify, harass, sabotage, obstruct, and physically assault federal agents. Democrat-aligned street soldiers are utilizing tactics and conducting operations that have all the hallmarks of a classic military insurgency.
Retired Green Beret Officer Eric Schwalm, a man who fought insurgents in both Afghanistan and Iraq, bluntly assessed the ongoing rebellion in Minneapolis:
“Signal groups at 1,000-member cap per zone. Dedicated roles: mobile chasers, plate checkers logging vehicle data into shared databases, 24/7 dispatch nodes vectoring assets, SALUTE-style reporting (Size, Activity, Location, Unit, Time, Equipment) on suspected federal vehicles. Daily chat rotations and timed deletions to frustrate forensic recovery. Vetting processes for new joiners.
Mutual aid from sympathetic locals (teachers providing cover, possible PD tip-offs on license plate lookups). Home-base coordination points. Rapid escalation from observation to physical obstruction — or worse. This isn’t spontaneous outrage. This is C2 (command and control) with redundancy, OPSEC hygiene, and task organization that would make a SF team sergeant nod in recognition. Replace ‘ICE agents’ with ‘occupying coalition forces’ and the structure maps almost 1:1 to early-stage urban cells we hunted in the mid-2000s.”
Schwalm concludes: “When your own citizens build and operate this level of parallel intelligence and rapid-response network against federal officers — complete with doxxing, vehicle pursuits, and harassment that’s already turned lethal — you’re no longer dealing with civil disobedience. You’re facing a distributed resistance that’s learned the lessons of successful insurgencies.”
Whether Democrat Party officials are backing an insurgent force on the streets of Minneapolis to distract from their own complicity in a multi-billion-dollar fraud operation, we don’t yet know. But Democrats do appear to believe that Minnesota can ignore federal law and threaten federal agents with impunity. That smacks of rebellion and secession and cannot be permitted.
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Two Storms, One Harvest
Every food crisis in living memory has been a one-shock event. The 2008 price spike was a commodity bubble. The 2020 shortages were a logistics failure. The 2022 grain scare was a war on one exporter’s ports. Each time, the system bent, adjusted, and recovered, and each time the experts assured us afterward that global markets are simply too big and too diversified to fail.
What nobody in Washington seems eager to discuss is that 2026 is shaping up to be something the modern food system has never actually faced. Two independent shocks, one climatic and one geopolitical, are converging on the same harvest cycle at the same time. Not sequentially. Simultaneously.
Start with the weather. The Pacific Ocean is currently building toward what forecasters now openly call a record event. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center puts the odds of at least a strong El Niño near 88 percent, with roughly two in three odds it reaches “very strong” status, the tier reserved for perhaps three or four events in the entire satellite era. Every major global model now projects a median peak in Super El Niño territory, and most of them project it exceeding the 2015-16 event, which until now held the modern record. Sea surface anomalies were already brushing the super threshold in mid-July, months before these events normally peak. The atmosphere has already shifted into El Niño mode, and the event is forecast to crest in late fall and early winter.
This is not about “climate change.” It’s about the standard cycles of weather, and the cycle we’re currently in is one that has likely devastated societies in the past. We’re better prepared as a society today, but not all Americans are equally prepared.
Serious households have started doing the quiet math on their own. Grocery bills tell part of the story, and the forecast maps tell the rest, which is why long-term food storage has moved from fringe hobby to mainstream line item in the family budget, with established suppliers like Heaven’s Harvest seeing demand from people who five years ago would have rolled their eyes at the idea. That instinct is not paranoia. It is pattern recognition, and the pattern is worth walking through carefully.
Editor’s Note: Heaven’s Harvest IS a sponsor, but the warnings of this article are real and would be written even if we didn’t have a survival food sponsor. With that said, those who take advantage of what they offer can use promo code “Patriot” for 15% off.
The Fertilizer Clock Is Already Running
While the Pacific warms, the second shock has been unfolding in the Strait of Hormuz. The conflict with Iran turned the world’s most important energy chokepoint into a contested waterway, and the consequences reach far beyond the gas pump. Roughly a third of global fertilizer trade moves through Hormuz, and the disruption sent urea prices up 86 percent year over year by March, with a 53 percent jump in a single month.
The World Bank projects energy prices rising about 24 percent in 2026 and fertilizer about 31 percent. By its own accounting, fertilizer prices ran 35 percent higher in the first five months of this year than the same period last year.
Here is the mechanism the nightly news will not explain. Fertilizer is not a grocery item. It is a time-delayed input. The nitrogen a farmer in Iowa or Punjab could not afford to apply this spring does not show up as a problem this spring. It shows up as a thinner harvest six to twelve months later.
The World Bank’s own food security brief concedes that the effects of reduced applications earlier this season “are likely to become visible only later in harvest outcomes.” Translate that from institutional language into plain English and it means this. The damage is already done, it is already in the ground, and we are simply waiting for it to arrive on the shelf.
Now check the calendar. Six to twelve months from the spring planting season lands us squarely in late 2026 and early 2027. Which is precisely when the strongest El Niño in the instrumental record is forecast to peak, bringing its signature droughts to Southeast Asia, Australia, southern Africa, northern Brazil, and South Asia, the very regions that grow the world’s rice, sugar, and oilseeds.
The World Bank warns openly that a strong El Niño “could disrupt multiple crop belts simultaneously” on top of the conflict-driven input costs. Their baseline projection assumes the Middle East disruptions ease by autumn. What in the last two years of Middle East history suggests that assumption is safe?
The System Has No Slack Left
The comfortable answer is that global markets always adjust. But adjustment requires slack, and the slack is gone. Global cereal production is expected to decline from last year’s records even before El Niño does its work. The UN World Food Programme, hardly a den of right-wing preppers, is calling this the most significant disruption to its supply chains since Covid and the invasion of Ukraine, and its supply chain director put the stakes bluntly.
Today’s supply chain challenges are tomorrow’s hunger crisis.
There is also a political dimension that markets cannot price. When food gets scarce, governments do not behave like economists. They behave like politicians. Export bans, hoarding mandates, and panic buying at the national level turned the modest rice shortfall of 2008 into a global crisis, and analysts are already warning that import-dependent nations are the first dominoes.
The 2015-16 Super El Niño, a far weaker event than what is now forecast, threw tens of millions into food stress across Africa and Asia. This one is projected to be stronger, and it arrives with fertilizer already rationed by price and shipping lanes already contested by missiles.
What Joseph Knew
Scripture does not treat preparation for lean years as faithlessness. It treats it as wisdom delivered in advance to those willing to act on it.
Behold, there come seven years of great plenty throughout all the land of Egypt: And there shall arise after them seven years of famine; and all the plenty shall be forgotten in the land of Egypt.
Joseph did not respond to that warning with a hashtag or a committee. He stored grain during the years of abundance, and when the famine came, Egypt stood while its neighbors begged. The lesson is not that famine is certain. It is that the time to prepare is precisely when preparation still looks optional.
Nobody who filled a pantry in a year of plenty has ever regretted it, and nobody standing in an empty aisle has ever been glad he waited for certainty.
None of this calls for panic, and panic is the enemy of sound judgment anyway. It calls for the same unglamorous prudence our grandparents considered ordinary. Keep some cash margin, know your local growers, and put real food in deep storage while it is cheap and available, because the entire arc of this story is that cheap and available is a closing window.
Families looking for a straightforward place to start can visit Heaven’s Harvest and use promo code Patriot for 15 percent off long-term storable food. The forecasts may yet soften, the strait may yet reopen, and we should pray they do. But hope is a fine thing to hold and a foolish thing to eat.
