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(Substack)—Homeownership remains the cornerstone of the American dream, yet skyrocketing prices and rents have left many families feeling squeezed out of reach. Politicians and pundits often point to a dire shortage of housing stock as the culprit, calling for massive new construction to ease the pressure. But what if the so-called crisis is little more than a fabricated narrative, designed to dismantle the very neighborhoods that define our communities?
Recent Census Bureau figures paint a different picture. As of the latest data, the United States boasts 131.3 million households but 146.5 million housing units—a surplus of more than 15 million empty or available homes. This gap suggests abundance, not scarcity.
Property attorney and former Trump administration official Paige Bronitsky drives this point home in her analysis, arguing that the housing “shortage” is a myth perpetuated by activists eager to reshape residential life along ideological lines. Instead of a lack of supply, she says, the real tension arises from a demand for premium, exclusive living spaces—much like the allure of a rare Hermes Birkin bag that commands sky-high prices not because of scarcity in leather, but because of its prestige.
Activists counter that the current vacancy rate of around 10% falls short of an ideal 12%, implying a need for another million units to hit that mark. Yet Bronitsky notes that vacancy rates have fluctuated between 8.3% and 14.5% since 1965, placing today’s figure squarely in the normal range. No crisis here, just a convenient benchmark to justify intervention.
They also lament a slowdown in construction, from an average of 1.5 million units per year between 1968 and 2000 down to 1.23 million since 2001, and speak of 3 to 5 million “missing” households bottled up by pent-up demand. Bronitsky dismantles this by tying it to shifting demographics: America’s population growth has halved from over 1% annually before 2000 to about 0.5% today, with projections dipping to 0.1% by 2055. Births will soon lag behind deaths, starting around 2038, and even the current administration’s push to deport a million people yearly doesn’t factor into rosy Census assumptions of steady immigration. In short, fewer people mean less need for new builds.
The push for more density isn’t about solving affordability—it’s about enforcing a social agenda. Bronitsky traces this back to a twisted interpretation of the Fair Housing Act of 1968, which originally aimed to open doors for equal opportunity by outlawing blatant discrimination like redlining and restrictive covenants. Families could live where they wished, provided they could afford it. Today, though, the law serves as a battering ram to erase disparities in who lives where, even if that means dragging down standards through forced integration.
Local zoning rules, which preserve a community’s character—think single-family homes in the suburbs or height limits in historic districts—stand in the way. Bronitsky warns that these regulations are under siege as a means to impose Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion (DEI) quotas on everyday housing choices.
Take New York City as a stark example. The New York City Economic Development Corporation has zeroed in on upscale areas like the Upper East Side, SoHo, and the West Village, blasting their “restrictive land use regulations” for stifling density and affordability. But the telltale sign of the agenda comes in their blunt assessment: “Community Districts producing the least affordable housing are disproportionately white.”
This isn’t subtle—it’s a direct nod to racial demographics as the problem to fix. The goal? Flood these neighborhoods with high-density, low-income developments to “diversify” them, regardless of local wishes or the erosion of property values and safety.
This pattern echoes federal efforts under the Obama and Biden administrations. The Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) rolled out the Affirmatively Furthering Fair Housing rule, compelling towns that accept federal funds to scrap zoning barriers and track racial breakdowns in their populations. The aim was clear: introduce multifamily projects into affluent suburbs to shift voting patterns and flip conservative strongholds blue.
President Trump swiftly axed the rule within 14 days of taking office in 2017, thanks to advisors like John McEntee, and HUD Secretary Scott Turner followed suit later in his term. Yet Biden revived it, proving the persistence of this top-down social engineering.
Even some on the right have bought into the shortage rhetoric, advocating for zoning rollbacks without seeing the bigger trap. Bronitsky calls it a “stalking horse” for DEI mandates, where “optional” reforms become ironclad requirements. Massachusetts offers a cautionary tale: A 2021 state law ostensibly encouraged 177 towns along commuter rail lines to zone for multifamily housing near stations. In practice, it mandated changes, overriding local control to prioritize low-income units.
Liberal economist Paul Krugman has cheered this on, writing in a recent Substack post that “the obvious answer is to turn inwards — to build more housing by increasing population density, in particular by building multifamily housing.”
What Krugman frames as economic necessity is, in reality, a blueprint for upending suburban life—replacing quiet family blocks with towering apartments that strain infrastructure and alter the social fabric.
Recent reports from outlets like Newsweek echo Krugman’s call, blaming past policies for the affordability crunch while urging density as the fix. But critics, including economists like John Cochrane, question whether cramming more people into cities truly raises living standards or just dilutes them. The Heritage Foundation has long argued that such “smart growth” schemes fail to deliver on promises, often exacerbating costs without meaningful environmental gains.
At its core, this manufactured crisis threatens the autonomy of American neighborhoods. Democrats have already injected DEI into schools, corporations, and the military—now they’re coming for your block. The fight isn’t over bricks and mortar; it’s over who gets to decide how we live. Without vigilance, the suburbs that generations have built could vanish under the weight of ideological overreach.
