Population growth in the U.S. is expected to stagnate between 2025 and 2055 as fertility rates continue to decline, a report released Tuesday by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) found. A predicted significant decline in illegal immigration as well as many women choosing to delay motherhood are two contributing factors.
After peaking at 2.12 births per woman in 2001, fertility rates have been slowly decreasing, dropping to 1.62 births per woman in 2023, according to CBO’s data. The report estimates this number to fall to 1.60 by 2035 and remain steady through 2055.
The report estimates women will continue to delay motherhood, predicting the fertility rate for women under the age of 30 to drop to 0.79 births per woman in 2025 and 0.62 in 2055, according to CBO. Meanwhile the rate for women over the age of 30 is expected to increase from 0.84 births per woman in 2025 to 0.98 by 2055.
Despite the report predicting the mortality rate to decline and life expectancy to increase, annual deaths are still expected to outpace births, according to the report’s findings. Life expectancy in the U.S. is predicted to rise from 78.9 years in 2025 to 82.3 years by 2055.
One major factor contributing to the report’s findings is immigration. While the number of people entering the country minus the number of people leaving the country skyrocketed to 3.3 million in 2023, that number is expected to drop drastically to 2.0 million in 2025, 1.5 million in 2026, and an average of 1.1 million per year from 2027 through 2055. […]
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