Political consultants have been proven very wrong time and again over the past few years. Perhaps that has always been the case, but I didn’t really start talking to them until 2015. I fondly remember being told I was insane in September, 2016, on a call with several Republican consultants when I said I was quite sure Donald Trump was going to beat Hillary Clinton.
They laughed at me. They literally laughed at me.
But I’ve had my share of massive failures as well. While I’m not a political consultant (I offer my advice for free, partially because no politician would pay me for my amateur services), I have been held to a certain standard of accuracy with my predictions because I publish them for posterity. The biggest predictive mistake I ever made was declaring after the 2020 Iowa caucus that Joe Biden was done.
That experience taught me a powerful lesson. Nothing is set in stone until the fat lady sings, or something like that. The backdoor wranglings, donor class shenanigans, and most importantly the Deep State manipulations can make the seemingly impossible become a certainty.
The powers-that-be coerced Pete Buttigieg and Amy Klobuchar to drop out of the 2020 primary race the week before Super Tuesday, which was absolutely required for the Democrats to nominate Biden and not Bernie Sanders. For those who don’t recall, both Buttigieg and Klobuchar were ahead of Biden in delegates at the time and Klobuchar had her home state coming up. It made no sense for them to drop out unless the plan was to help Joe beat Bernie.
The powers-that-be made 85% of voters either skeptical of the Hunter Biden laptop three weeks before the 2020 election, or completely unaware of its existence. I’m not sure there’s been a time in the digital age when something so shocking was as successfully covered up. In a poll conducted earlier this year (which I can’t seem to find but I’m not imagining it), even a large percentage of Democrats said they wouldn’t have voted for Biden if they knew about Hunter’s laptop.
And yes, the power-that-be can take an insurmountable lead by the current GOP frontrunner and decimate it through lawfare, lies, and outright fraud. Anyone who thinks Donald Trump is certain to be the nominee as of August, 2023, hasn’t been paying enough attention the last decade. The globalists learned their lesson following the 2016 election. They will never underestimate Trump or his base ever again. They will fire all weapons, pull every available string, and unleash every dirty trick in the book to destroy him.
Take all of that as you will. Trump’s supporters can use it as a rallying cry to not get complacent despite his massive lead in the polls. His detractors can take it as a grain of hope. As Lloyd from Dumb and Dumber might say, “So you’re telling me there’s a chance.”
It’s Time for Trump to Switch Gears
It’s important to understand that my advice to the Trump campaign to focus on Democrats is NOT because I think he’s locked in. It behooves him to start acting like he’s locked in for the nomination in order to make it so; the longer he lingers on attacking DeSantis, the more attention he gives him. When Trump puts all of his focus on beating the Democrats and stops paying attention to the Republican contenders, they’ll start falling off.
The best time to do this is during or just after Wednesday’s GOP debate. If I were advising him, I would make sure he at least hints to if not explicitly announces that he’s putting his efforts going forward to beating the Democrats during his interview with Tucker Carlson.
The message after Wednesday should be, “Beat the Democrats.” And that doesn’t just mean Joe Biden. That means Gavin Newsom, Michelle Obama, and anyone else who gets rumored to be a Biden replacement. It also means going after Chuck Schumer, Hakeem Jeffries, and Democrats on Capitol Hill who are vulnerable in 2024. Trump needs to establish that he’s going to help down-ballot and the easiest way to do that is to start hitting Democrats in all relevant races.
The only Democrat he shouldn’t go after is Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. Some of Trump’s potential general election voters are fans of RFK Jr. Moreover, RFK Jr is focusing his attacks on Biden, not Republicans, so there’s no need to draw him into a multifront battle. Let him go after Biden unabated.
If I were advising Team Trump, I would start laying out attacks through social media, emails, interviews, and in video messages to his base about multiple Democrats throughout the day, every day. And while I know there’s pride involved, it behooves Trump to return to Twitter (I’m not calling it “X” until I have to). From there, he’ll be able to use other Republicans as well as his base as massive force multipliers. Truth Social is an echo chamber. He’s not reaching anyone there who needs convincing.
He could advance his campaign messaging, remain in the news cycle incessantly, and start truly unifying the party before the Iowa caucus if he puts all of his efforts toward highlighting the idiocy of Democrat Party leadership. His fundraising would go through the roof. But if he continues to focus on his nomination opponents, he’s wasting valuable time. The nomination may not be locked up but it’s time for him to start acting like it is.
Again, this is advice for Team Trump. By no means am I telling anyone who supports his GOP opponents to give up. I wouldn’t want anyone telling me to give up on my preferred candidate if I still had hope and I would never tell anyone else to do it. This is about Trump’s strategy, not a call for anyone else to stand down. Lord willing, we’ll all come together as patriots sooner or later. I’m just hopeful that it’s sooner and the fastest path to get their in my humble opinion is if Trump starts working in that direction immediately.
Let me know how you feel about this on my Substack.
Three Reasons a Coffee Gift Set From This Christian Company Is Perfect for Christmas
When you’re searching for a Christmas gift that’s meaningful, useful, and rooted in faith, you don’t want to settle for anything generic. This season is filled with noise — mass-produced products, last-minute picks, and trends that fade as quickly as they appear. But one gift stands apart because it blends genuine quality with a message that matters: a coffee gift set from Promised Grounds Coffee.
This small Christian-owned company has become a favorite among believers who want to support faith-driven businesses while giving friends and family something they’ll actually enjoy. Here are three reasons a Promised Grounds Coffee gift set may be the most thoughtful and impactful present you give this year.
1. It’s Truly Delicious Coffee
Too many “gift-worthy” coffees look beautiful in the package but disappoint when the cup is poured. Promised Grounds takes the opposite approach — exceptional taste first, thoughtful presentation second.
Their beans are sourced with care, roasted in small batches, and crafted to bring out a rich, smooth flavor profile that appeals to both casual drinkers and true coffee lovers. Whether someone enjoys bold, dark roasts or lighter, more delicate blends, every sip reflects quality that stands shoulder-to-shoulder with the biggest specialty brands.
Simply put: this coffee is good. Really good. Some say it’s absolutely fantastic. If you want a gift that won’t be re-gifted, ignored, or shoved in a cabinet, this is it.
2. It Spreads the Word While Serving a Real Purpose
There are many Christian gifts that are meaningful… but not exactly practical. There are also useful gifts that have nothing to do with faith. Promised Grounds Coffee bridges both worlds beautifully.
Each gift set delivers an encouraging, faith-centered message through its packaging and presentation — a simple but powerful reminder of God’s goodness during the Christmas season. The cups are especially popular and serve as a daily reminder of the blessings from our Lord. At the same time, the product itself is something people will actually use and appreciate every single day.
It’s a gift that uplifts the spirit and fills the mug. A gift that points loved ones toward Scripture while still being part of the normal rhythm of life. And in a culture that increasingly pushes faith to the margins, giving a gift that quietly but confidently honors Christ can make a deeper impact than you might expect.
3. It’s Affordable, Valuable, and Elegantly Presented
Many people want to give something meaningful without breaking their Christmas budget. Promised Grounds Coffee strikes that perfect balance — the sets look and feel premium, but the price remains accessible.
The packaging is classy, clean, and gift-ready, making it ideal for:
- Family members of all ages
- Co-workers or employees
- Church friends or small-group leaders
- Hosts, neighbors, and last-minute gift needs
It’s the kind of gift that feels more expensive than it is — and more thoughtful than most of what you’ll find on store shelves.
The Perfect Blend of Faith, Flavor, and Christmas Cheer
A coffee gift set from Promised Grounds Coffee checks every box: a gift that tastes amazing, conveys your faith, supports a Christian business, and brings daily enjoyment to the person who receives it. In a season when so many gifts are forgotten, this one stands out for all the right reasons.
If you want a Christmas present that reflects your values and delivers genuine joy, Promised Grounds Coffee is the perfect place to start.
