The number of U.S. death certificates listing Y59.0, the code for a death caused by a viral vaccine, rose from fewer than 10 per year through 2020, to 198 in 2021, the year COVID-19 vaccines rolled out, according to a new analysis of CDC data by the research group CORRELATION.
Researchers said the significant increase in certified vaccine deaths starting in 2021 is “unprecedented,” at least since 1968, and constitutes “a robust safety signal for COVID-19 vaccines.”
“Our results show that exceptional and brave attending physicians reported COVID-19 vaccine-caused deaths on the death certificates that they were legally mandated to complete, despite the large professional, institutional and political bias against doing so, and that these death-certificate results constitute a significant safety signal unprecedented since at least 1968,” Denis Rancourt, Ph.D., lead author of the analysis, told The Defender.
He added:
“There is no justification for a claim that the COVID-19 vaccines are ‘safe,’ since they caused certified deaths, beyond any previous levels for any vaccine type. The side effect of death must be mentioned when informing patients. There is a definite lower-bound risk of death that cannot be argued away by health agencies.”
Death certificate codes suggest COVID vaccines killed elderly
The authors of the analysis examined the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s WONDER public health information data, which track mortality and other statistics. They focused on codes used on death certificates to identify a cause, or causes of death.
Standardized medical codes are used globally by healthcare professionals to classify patient diseases and medical conditions. The codes can be used to track and monitor illnesses and causes of death, and for research.
The International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, 10th Revision (ICD-10) contains the most up-to-date codes.
The authors of the analysis specifically searched for how often the Y59.0 code — the code for death from a viral vaccine — appeared on death certificates.
There is no specific code for the COVID-19 vaccine — or yet for COVID-19 vaccine injuries. Distinct codes do exist for some bacterial vaccines, including plague, tetanus, diphtheria, pertussis, among others, but viral vaccines, including flu, all share Y59.0 code.
As the researchers sifted through the data for death certificates that list the Y59.0 code, they found that Y59.0 deaths were near zero from 1999 through 2020 — fewer than 10 per year and zero reported in most months.
Deaths from all vaccine types never exceeded 10 reported per year from 1968 through 2020.
However, in 2021, use of the Y59.0 code peaked. For that year, the researchers identified 66 deaths where a viral vaccine was designated as the underlying cause of death, and 198 reports listing a viral vaccine as one of the causes of death on the death certificate.
Roughly half of the people assigned the code were 75 years old or older, and essentially all of them were 65 or over.
The authors suggested that given the massive rollout of the COVID-19 vaccine starting in January 2021, their interpretation of the ICD-10 Y59.0 deaths as being related to COVID-19 vaccines is justified.
The authors also compared the number of deaths on death certificates with the roughly 4,400 deaths from the COVID-19 vaccine reported to the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS) in January-May 2021. They argue that the gap is likely due to underreporting of death reports and to institutional bias that likely drives that underreporting.
They also suggested that a rapid surveillance system focused on death codes would have immediately identified a robust safety signal for death among elderly people who got the COVID-19 vaccines.
They recommended developing such a system for all “institutionally imposed new medical interventions” that haven’t undergone rigorous safety testing.
Two Storms, One Harvest
Every food crisis in living memory has been a one-shock event. The 2008 price spike was a commodity bubble. The 2020 shortages were a logistics failure. The 2022 grain scare was a war on one exporter’s ports. Each time, the system bent, adjusted, and recovered, and each time the experts assured us afterward that global markets are simply too big and too diversified to fail.
What nobody in Washington seems eager to discuss is that 2026 is shaping up to be something the modern food system has never actually faced. Two independent shocks, one climatic and one geopolitical, are converging on the same harvest cycle at the same time. Not sequentially. Simultaneously.
Start with the weather. The Pacific Ocean is currently building toward what forecasters now openly call a record event. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center puts the odds of at least a strong El Niño near 88 percent, with roughly two in three odds it reaches “very strong” status, the tier reserved for perhaps three or four events in the entire satellite era. Every major global model now projects a median peak in Super El Niño territory, and most of them project it exceeding the 2015-16 event, which until now held the modern record. Sea surface anomalies were already brushing the super threshold in mid-July, months before these events normally peak. The atmosphere has already shifted into El Niño mode, and the event is forecast to crest in late fall and early winter.
This is not about “climate change.” It’s about the standard cycles of weather, and the cycle we’re currently in is one that has likely devastated societies in the past. We’re better prepared as a society today, but not all Americans are equally prepared.
Serious households have started doing the quiet math on their own. Grocery bills tell part of the story, and the forecast maps tell the rest, which is why long-term food storage has moved from fringe hobby to mainstream line item in the family budget, with established suppliers like Heaven’s Harvest seeing demand from people who five years ago would have rolled their eyes at the idea. That instinct is not paranoia. It is pattern recognition, and the pattern is worth walking through carefully.
Editor’s Note: Heaven’s Harvest IS a sponsor, but the warnings of this article are real and would be written even if we didn’t have a survival food sponsor. With that said, those who take advantage of what they offer can use promo code “Patriot” for 15% off.
The Fertilizer Clock Is Already Running
While the Pacific warms, the second shock has been unfolding in the Strait of Hormuz. The conflict with Iran turned the world’s most important energy chokepoint into a contested waterway, and the consequences reach far beyond the gas pump. Roughly a third of global fertilizer trade moves through Hormuz, and the disruption sent urea prices up 86 percent year over year by March, with a 53 percent jump in a single month.
The World Bank projects energy prices rising about 24 percent in 2026 and fertilizer about 31 percent. By its own accounting, fertilizer prices ran 35 percent higher in the first five months of this year than the same period last year.
Here is the mechanism the nightly news will not explain. Fertilizer is not a grocery item. It is a time-delayed input. The nitrogen a farmer in Iowa or Punjab could not afford to apply this spring does not show up as a problem this spring. It shows up as a thinner harvest six to twelve months later.
The World Bank’s own food security brief concedes that the effects of reduced applications earlier this season “are likely to become visible only later in harvest outcomes.” Translate that from institutional language into plain English and it means this. The damage is already done, it is already in the ground, and we are simply waiting for it to arrive on the shelf.
Now check the calendar. Six to twelve months from the spring planting season lands us squarely in late 2026 and early 2027. Which is precisely when the strongest El Niño in the instrumental record is forecast to peak, bringing its signature droughts to Southeast Asia, Australia, southern Africa, northern Brazil, and South Asia, the very regions that grow the world’s rice, sugar, and oilseeds.
The World Bank warns openly that a strong El Niño “could disrupt multiple crop belts simultaneously” on top of the conflict-driven input costs. Their baseline projection assumes the Middle East disruptions ease by autumn. What in the last two years of Middle East history suggests that assumption is safe?
The System Has No Slack Left
The comfortable answer is that global markets always adjust. But adjustment requires slack, and the slack is gone. Global cereal production is expected to decline from last year’s records even before El Niño does its work. The UN World Food Programme, hardly a den of right-wing preppers, is calling this the most significant disruption to its supply chains since Covid and the invasion of Ukraine, and its supply chain director put the stakes bluntly.
Today’s supply chain challenges are tomorrow’s hunger crisis.
There is also a political dimension that markets cannot price. When food gets scarce, governments do not behave like economists. They behave like politicians. Export bans, hoarding mandates, and panic buying at the national level turned the modest rice shortfall of 2008 into a global crisis, and analysts are already warning that import-dependent nations are the first dominoes.
The 2015-16 Super El Niño, a far weaker event than what is now forecast, threw tens of millions into food stress across Africa and Asia. This one is projected to be stronger, and it arrives with fertilizer already rationed by price and shipping lanes already contested by missiles.
What Joseph Knew
Scripture does not treat preparation for lean years as faithlessness. It treats it as wisdom delivered in advance to those willing to act on it.
Behold, there come seven years of great plenty throughout all the land of Egypt: And there shall arise after them seven years of famine; and all the plenty shall be forgotten in the land of Egypt.
Joseph did not respond to that warning with a hashtag or a committee. He stored grain during the years of abundance, and when the famine came, Egypt stood while its neighbors begged. The lesson is not that famine is certain. It is that the time to prepare is precisely when preparation still looks optional.
Nobody who filled a pantry in a year of plenty has ever regretted it, and nobody standing in an empty aisle has ever been glad he waited for certainty.
None of this calls for panic, and panic is the enemy of sound judgment anyway. It calls for the same unglamorous prudence our grandparents considered ordinary. Keep some cash margin, know your local growers, and put real food in deep storage while it is cheap and available, because the entire arc of this story is that cheap and available is a closing window.
Families looking for a straightforward place to start can visit Heaven’s Harvest and use promo code Patriot for 15 percent off long-term storable food. The forecasts may yet soften, the strait may yet reopen, and we should pray they do. But hope is a fine thing to hold and a foolish thing to eat.
