(End of the American Dream)—If there is going to be “peace in the Middle East”, why are Israel, Iran and Hezbollah feverishly preparing for war? I am watching the Middle East very closely, because I expect something really big to happen. In fact, just hours ago the IDF conducted major airstrikes in Lebanon. Meanwhile, the Iranians are stockpiling missiles like never before. The clock is ticking, and the Middle East could potentially erupt in flames at any moment.
A lot of people out there seem to think that Hezbollah has been totally defeated.
But of course that is not the case at all.
It is still very formidable, and it is being reported that Hezbollah is “working on rebuilding the Radwan Force and retrieving weapons from its bunkers”…
The Israeli newspaper Maariv reported that “the Israeli army is preparing for multiple scenarios on the northern front with Lebanon.”
The newspaper added that “Israeli intelligence has detected increased activity by Hezbollah in several Lebanese regions, including the north of the Litani River, the Bekaa Valley, and in Dahiyeh.” It noted that “Hezbollah is working on rebuilding the Radwan Force and retrieving weapons from its bunkers that were previously targeted by Israeli airstrikes.”
In response, Israeli officials have developed a plan that involves “wide-scale assassinations of senior Hezbollah commanders and strikes on key positions deep inside Lebanon”…
The Israeli army has intensified military preparations along the northern front, amid growing indications that Israel is preparing for a major confrontation with Hezbollah, according to reports from Israeli media.
Army Radio cited informed sources as saying that the anticipated operation will involve wide-scale assassinations of senior Hezbollah commanders and strikes on key positions deep inside Lebanon. The sources added that the operation could be launched “at any moment,” depending on developments along the border.
The reports suggest Israel aims to neutralize Hezbollah’s leadership and infrastructure, even as a fragile ceasefire remains officially in place.
Of course we can now see this plan in action.
In recent days, there have been “wide-scale assassinations of senior Hezbollah commanders”. In fact, a number of the top leaders of Hezbollah’s Radwan Force have recently been killed…
The IDF claimed that it had killed “approximately 20 Hezbollah terrorists whose activities violated the understandings between Israel and Lebanon.”
On Wednesday, the IDF said it killed Hussein Jaber Dib, a member of Hezbollah’s Radwan Force. Israel alleged that Dib had “advanced terror attacks against Israel and its citizens.”
Additionally, on Monday, the IDF confirmed it had killed two Hezbollah commanders in southern Lebanon. Muhammad Ali Hadid, a senior member of Hezbollah’s elite Radwan Force, was eliminated in Nabatieh, while another operative was struck in Ayta ash Shab after being seen collecting intelligence on Israeli positions, according to the Israeli military.
And we are also witnessing airstrikes on Hezbollah targets deep inside Lebanese territory…
The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) announced on Thursday that it had started striking Hezbollah military targets in southern Lebanon.
The IDF said it struck terrorist infrastructure and several weapon storage facilities that belonged to Hezbollah’s Radwan Force on Thursday. The military also alleged that the Radwan Force was working to “reestablish terrorist infrastructure” that was “intended to harm the State of Israel.”
“The weapons storage facilities were constructed in the center of civilian-populated areas. This is yet another example of the Hezbollah terrorist organization’s strategy to cynically and brutally exploit Lebanese civilians as human shields as it operates out of civilian areas,” the IDF said in a press release.
There is no point in pretending.
Israel and Hezbollah are at war again.
Hezbollah is ruling out any negotiations, and they are warning that they will fight to defend their interests…
The attacks come as Hezbollah issued a firm rejection of any political negotiations with Israel, saying such talks would “not serve the national interest”. The statement followed mounting pressure from the United States and Egypt for Lebanon to begin direct dialogue with Israel, the AFP news agency reported. Al Jazeera could not independently verify those claims.
“We reaffirm our legitimate right to defend ourselves against an enemy that imposes war on our country and does not cease its attacks,” Hezbollah said, referring to ongoing Israeli air raids despite a ceasefire agreed to in November 2024.
Lebanon and Israel remain technically at war, with communication limited to a United Nations-backed monitoring mechanism involving France and the US. The two sides meet separately under UN auspices but do not engage in direct talks.
While all of this has been going on, the Iranians have also been preparing for another round of fighting.
Iran has been feverishly stockpiling missiles, and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi is claiming that his nation’s missile forces are now “far greater than during the 12-day war”…
“The Islamic Republic’s approach was to rely on domestically produced military equipment, and the result was that those who initially demanded unconditional surrender ended up accepting an unconditional ceasefire on the 12th day…International relations are based on power. We must be strong, and the armed forces have gone above and beyond in this regard. Our missile power today is far greater than during the 12-day war.”
I don’t think that he is exaggerating.
Apparently Iran has imported 2,000 tons of sodium perchlorate from China since the end of September…
U.S. and allied intelligence have flagged Iran’s arsenal as not just large, but also evolving in sophistication, with Secretary of State Marco Rubio describing the missile program in September as an “unacceptable risk.”
Since the end of September, Iran has reportedly received 2,000 tons of sodium perchlorate—a missile fuel precursor, enough for roughly 500 ballistic missiles—from China, Western intelligence sources told CNN last week.
But when it comes to the Iranians, the much bigger potential threat is their nuclear program.
The Iranians have vowed to rebuild it stronger than ever, and right now the IAEA has absolutely no idea what is going on at Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan…
Iran must “seriously improve” cooperation with the United Nations inspectors to avoid heightening tensions with the West, the Financial Times reported on Wednesday, citing International Atomic Energy Agency chief Rafael Grossi.
Grossi told the FT that while the IAEA has carried out about a dozen inspections in Iran since hostilities with Israel in June, it had not been given access to nuclear facilities such as Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan, which were bombed by the United States.
We are supposed to believe that the Iranian nuclear program has been set back for a long time and is no longer an imminent threat.
I am not buying that.
Elsewhere, Russian forces continue to march forward in Ukraine.
The battle for the fortress city of Pokrovsk is nearing an end, and even the New York Times is admitting that the Russians are “close to capturing” it…
Russia is concentrating its firepower and troops on the small, battered city of Pokrovsk in eastern Ukraine, apparently pushing its forces close to capturing what has become a gateway to the war’s most fiercely contested region.
After more than a year of fighting, Pokrovsk, a railroad hub in the Donetsk region, has been turned largely into rubble, its prewar population of 60,000 now reduced to fewer than 1,300 residents. Ukrainian soldiers defending the city report intense combat. Nearly one-third of all the battles along the front line, which stretches almost 750 miles, are in Pokrovsk, and half of Russia’s attacks with deadly glide bombs are focused on the city, President Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine said on Monday. Those numbers could not be independently confirmed.
Some of Ukraine’s best units have been trying to defend Pokrovsk, but now it is clear the the city will fall and western experts are acknowledging that the wise move would be to withdraw those forces so that they can fight another day…
“At this stage Ukrainian forces should be withdrawing rather than trying to stay in a collapsing pocket,” said Michael Kofman, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment who focuses on the Ukrainian conflict and recently visited troops near Pokrovsk.
The situation was looking “increasingly precarious,” he said and “nobody is sure about how many troops actually remain.” Whatever the number, “at this stage of the war it is exceedingly difficult to extract forces under fire control of enemy drones.”
But Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky refuses to do that.
He has apparently decided that Pokrovsk will be defended to the last man, and so a lot of good soldiers will be needlessly lost…
The next news From Ukraine, and again about Pokrovsk. According to Ukrainian media, despite criticism, including from the military, there will be no retreat from Pokrovsk. The city’s garrison has already been condemned.
Ukrainian UAV expert Sergei “Flash” Beskrestnov reported today that Zelenskyy has decided to hold Pokrovsk to the last Ukrainian soldier. According to him, the General Staff has decided to concentrate reserves on Pokrovsk, regardless of losses. According to the General Staff, the city is too important for further defense; the entire Dnipropetrovsk region lies behind it, and there isn’t a single strong line of defense within its borders. In short, Pokrovsk supposedly protects Dnipropetrovsk from being captured by Russian forces.
If Zelensky feels this strongly, I would like to see him gear up and head out to the front lines.
Of course he would never actually put himself in any danger.
In ancient times, kings would go out and fight with their armies.
If politicians were forced to do that in this day and time, there would be a lot less war.
Sadly, I expect war to continue to be a major theme in 2026, and that is not good news for any of us.
Michael’s new book entitled “10 Prophetic Events That Are Coming Next” is available in paperback and for the Kindle on Amazon.com, and you can subscribe to his Substack newsletter at michaeltsnyder.substack.com.
Two Storms, One Harvest
Every food crisis in living memory has been a one-shock event. The 2008 price spike was a commodity bubble. The 2020 shortages were a logistics failure. The 2022 grain scare was a war on one exporter’s ports. Each time, the system bent, adjusted, and recovered, and each time the experts assured us afterward that global markets are simply too big and too diversified to fail.
What nobody in Washington seems eager to discuss is that 2026 is shaping up to be something the modern food system has never actually faced. Two independent shocks, one climatic and one geopolitical, are converging on the same harvest cycle at the same time. Not sequentially. Simultaneously.
Start with the weather. The Pacific Ocean is currently building toward what forecasters now openly call a record event. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center puts the odds of at least a strong El Niño near 88 percent, with roughly two in three odds it reaches “very strong” status, the tier reserved for perhaps three or four events in the entire satellite era. Every major global model now projects a median peak in Super El Niño territory, and most of them project it exceeding the 2015-16 event, which until now held the modern record. Sea surface anomalies were already brushing the super threshold in mid-July, months before these events normally peak. The atmosphere has already shifted into El Niño mode, and the event is forecast to crest in late fall and early winter.
This is not about “climate change.” It’s about the standard cycles of weather, and the cycle we’re currently in is one that has likely devastated societies in the past. We’re better prepared as a society today, but not all Americans are equally prepared.
Serious households have started doing the quiet math on their own. Grocery bills tell part of the story, and the forecast maps tell the rest, which is why long-term food storage has moved from fringe hobby to mainstream line item in the family budget, with established suppliers like Heaven’s Harvest seeing demand from people who five years ago would have rolled their eyes at the idea. That instinct is not paranoia. It is pattern recognition, and the pattern is worth walking through carefully.
Editor’s Note: Heaven’s Harvest IS a sponsor, but the warnings of this article are real and would be written even if we didn’t have a survival food sponsor. With that said, those who take advantage of what they offer can use promo code “Patriot” for 15% off.
The Fertilizer Clock Is Already Running
While the Pacific warms, the second shock has been unfolding in the Strait of Hormuz. The conflict with Iran turned the world’s most important energy chokepoint into a contested waterway, and the consequences reach far beyond the gas pump. Roughly a third of global fertilizer trade moves through Hormuz, and the disruption sent urea prices up 86 percent year over year by March, with a 53 percent jump in a single month.
The World Bank projects energy prices rising about 24 percent in 2026 and fertilizer about 31 percent. By its own accounting, fertilizer prices ran 35 percent higher in the first five months of this year than the same period last year.
Here is the mechanism the nightly news will not explain. Fertilizer is not a grocery item. It is a time-delayed input. The nitrogen a farmer in Iowa or Punjab could not afford to apply this spring does not show up as a problem this spring. It shows up as a thinner harvest six to twelve months later.
The World Bank’s own food security brief concedes that the effects of reduced applications earlier this season “are likely to become visible only later in harvest outcomes.” Translate that from institutional language into plain English and it means this. The damage is already done, it is already in the ground, and we are simply waiting for it to arrive on the shelf.
Now check the calendar. Six to twelve months from the spring planting season lands us squarely in late 2026 and early 2027. Which is precisely when the strongest El Niño in the instrumental record is forecast to peak, bringing its signature droughts to Southeast Asia, Australia, southern Africa, northern Brazil, and South Asia, the very regions that grow the world’s rice, sugar, and oilseeds.
The World Bank warns openly that a strong El Niño “could disrupt multiple crop belts simultaneously” on top of the conflict-driven input costs. Their baseline projection assumes the Middle East disruptions ease by autumn. What in the last two years of Middle East history suggests that assumption is safe?
The System Has No Slack Left
The comfortable answer is that global markets always adjust. But adjustment requires slack, and the slack is gone. Global cereal production is expected to decline from last year’s records even before El Niño does its work. The UN World Food Programme, hardly a den of right-wing preppers, is calling this the most significant disruption to its supply chains since Covid and the invasion of Ukraine, and its supply chain director put the stakes bluntly.
Today’s supply chain challenges are tomorrow’s hunger crisis.
There is also a political dimension that markets cannot price. When food gets scarce, governments do not behave like economists. They behave like politicians. Export bans, hoarding mandates, and panic buying at the national level turned the modest rice shortfall of 2008 into a global crisis, and analysts are already warning that import-dependent nations are the first dominoes.
The 2015-16 Super El Niño, a far weaker event than what is now forecast, threw tens of millions into food stress across Africa and Asia. This one is projected to be stronger, and it arrives with fertilizer already rationed by price and shipping lanes already contested by missiles.
What Joseph Knew
Scripture does not treat preparation for lean years as faithlessness. It treats it as wisdom delivered in advance to those willing to act on it.
Behold, there come seven years of great plenty throughout all the land of Egypt: And there shall arise after them seven years of famine; and all the plenty shall be forgotten in the land of Egypt.
Joseph did not respond to that warning with a hashtag or a committee. He stored grain during the years of abundance, and when the famine came, Egypt stood while its neighbors begged. The lesson is not that famine is certain. It is that the time to prepare is precisely when preparation still looks optional.
Nobody who filled a pantry in a year of plenty has ever regretted it, and nobody standing in an empty aisle has ever been glad he waited for certainty.
None of this calls for panic, and panic is the enemy of sound judgment anyway. It calls for the same unglamorous prudence our grandparents considered ordinary. Keep some cash margin, know your local growers, and put real food in deep storage while it is cheap and available, because the entire arc of this story is that cheap and available is a closing window.
Families looking for a straightforward place to start can visit Heaven’s Harvest and use promo code Patriot for 15 percent off long-term storable food. The forecasts may yet soften, the strait may yet reopen, and we should pray they do. But hope is a fine thing to hold and a foolish thing to eat.
They will not hold back. They want Israel destroyed totally and that means a nuclear strike or all out war with something. No holding back. Gloves are off. Will Israel nuke them? Maybe…. but not without consequences, of course.
My understanding is that Israel, Iran and Hezbollah are all controlled by freemasons for the satanic nwo. Revelation 18 indicates that the Vatican will be destroyed, which could be perpetrated by freemasons but officially blamed on Iran. In which case, NATO could use it as justification to attack Iran after which the satanists would officially establish the communist one world government/religion in Jerusalem.
Babylon and Rome are not the same thing. Revelation 18 doesn’t mention Rome.
Revelation 18 speaks of the fall of Babylon. That has no connection to the Vatican at all. Most think NYC is the new Babylon. Whatever it is, it’s not a religious center, it’s a commerce center.
If true, I wonder if it will be enough to draw Egypt in.
Do we really have to see all these “E.D.” ads? Nobody on earth has “E.D.” There is no such thing, people who think they have it are just dehydrated, they don’t drink enough water. Start drinking the right amount of water, and you’ll see.