The upcoming presidential election in Pennsylvania might hinge on an unexpected demographic: the Amish community. Traditionally known for their reluctance to engage in political activities, recent political strategies have identified the Amish as potentially key voters, especially in light of their significant numbers in Lancaster County, one of Pennsylvania’s most conservative areas.
Reports from the communities in both Pennsylvania and Ohio indicate this election is very different from any past presidential election. This is due in large part to attacks on Amish autonomy, including their freedom to cooperate and trade natural food products.
Political operatives, particularly those aligned with former President Donald Trump, have been actively campaigning within these communities, employing methods that respect the Amish way of life. This includes handwritten letters, personal visits, and avoiding modern communication tools like emails or online ads, which are contrary to Amish practices. This grassroots approach aims to connect with the Amish on issues that resonate with their values, such as religious freedom, traditional family structures, and economic policies that favor small, family-owned businesses.
Rep. Lloyd Smucker (R-PA), who grew up Amish, spoke to Fox News about how more Amish had switched from farming to running businesses, and were “becoming much more engaged politically.”
The Amish, not traditionally known for their political involvement, have been approached with messages that align with their conservative values. This outreach is not just about numbers; it’s about understanding and appealing to the Amish’s deep-rooted beliefs in simplicity, community, and faith. However, the engagement with politics is met with varied reactions within the community, where some see voting as a necessary engagement with the outside world, while others view it as contrary to their separation from worldly affairs.
“You have a minority of the Amish who are now farming, agricultural,” Smucker told the outlet. “They’ve run out of land in Lancaster County a long time ago. So, there’s a new generation of Amish who are business owners, they’re running their very successful businesses — some of them are large businesses. And, so they’re becoming much more engaged politically than their parents were.”
With an estimated 44,000 Amish in the Lancaster County area alone, and considering only about half are of voting age, the number of potential Amish voters is significant but not overwhelmingly large. However, in a closely contested state like Pennsylvania, even a small shift could influence the outcome. The community’s growth rate, which outpaces the national average, suggests an increasing political relevance in future elections.
If Trump’s campaign successfully mobilizes even a fraction of these voters, it could tip the scales in Pennsylvania, a battleground state crucial for any presidential hopeful. This strategy reflects a broader recognition of how niche demographics, when aligned with broader political movements, can play disproportionate roles in election outcomes.
The Amish in Pennsylvania represent more than just votes; they symbolize a shift in political strategies towards communities often overlooked or deemed uninterested in politics. While their impact might be more symbolic than definitive in this election, the effort to engage them highlights evolving political landscapes where every community, no matter how small or reclusive, is seen as a potential ally in the quest for electoral success. This approach not only challenges how we think about voter turnout but also how political campaigns adapt to cultural diversity within the electorate.
Article partially generated from corporate media reports.
Two Storms, One Harvest
Every food crisis in living memory has been a one-shock event. The 2008 price spike was a commodity bubble. The 2020 shortages were a logistics failure. The 2022 grain scare was a war on one exporter’s ports. Each time, the system bent, adjusted, and recovered, and each time the experts assured us afterward that global markets are simply too big and too diversified to fail.
What nobody in Washington seems eager to discuss is that 2026 is shaping up to be something the modern food system has never actually faced. Two independent shocks, one climatic and one geopolitical, are converging on the same harvest cycle at the same time. Not sequentially. Simultaneously.
Start with the weather. The Pacific Ocean is currently building toward what forecasters now openly call a record event. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center puts the odds of at least a strong El Niño near 88 percent, with roughly two in three odds it reaches “very strong” status, the tier reserved for perhaps three or four events in the entire satellite era. Every major global model now projects a median peak in Super El Niño territory, and most of them project it exceeding the 2015-16 event, which until now held the modern record. Sea surface anomalies were already brushing the super threshold in mid-July, months before these events normally peak. The atmosphere has already shifted into El Niño mode, and the event is forecast to crest in late fall and early winter.
This is not about “climate change.” It’s about the standard cycles of weather, and the cycle we’re currently in is one that has likely devastated societies in the past. We’re better prepared as a society today, but not all Americans are equally prepared.
Serious households have started doing the quiet math on their own. Grocery bills tell part of the story, and the forecast maps tell the rest, which is why long-term food storage has moved from fringe hobby to mainstream line item in the family budget, with established suppliers like Heaven’s Harvest seeing demand from people who five years ago would have rolled their eyes at the idea. That instinct is not paranoia. It is pattern recognition, and the pattern is worth walking through carefully.
Editor’s Note: Heaven’s Harvest IS a sponsor, but the warnings of this article are real and would be written even if we didn’t have a survival food sponsor. With that said, those who take advantage of what they offer can use promo code “Patriot” for 15% off.
The Fertilizer Clock Is Already Running
While the Pacific warms, the second shock has been unfolding in the Strait of Hormuz. The conflict with Iran turned the world’s most important energy chokepoint into a contested waterway, and the consequences reach far beyond the gas pump. Roughly a third of global fertilizer trade moves through Hormuz, and the disruption sent urea prices up 86 percent year over year by March, with a 53 percent jump in a single month.
The World Bank projects energy prices rising about 24 percent in 2026 and fertilizer about 31 percent. By its own accounting, fertilizer prices ran 35 percent higher in the first five months of this year than the same period last year.
Here is the mechanism the nightly news will not explain. Fertilizer is not a grocery item. It is a time-delayed input. The nitrogen a farmer in Iowa or Punjab could not afford to apply this spring does not show up as a problem this spring. It shows up as a thinner harvest six to twelve months later.
The World Bank’s own food security brief concedes that the effects of reduced applications earlier this season “are likely to become visible only later in harvest outcomes.” Translate that from institutional language into plain English and it means this. The damage is already done, it is already in the ground, and we are simply waiting for it to arrive on the shelf.
Now check the calendar. Six to twelve months from the spring planting season lands us squarely in late 2026 and early 2027. Which is precisely when the strongest El Niño in the instrumental record is forecast to peak, bringing its signature droughts to Southeast Asia, Australia, southern Africa, northern Brazil, and South Asia, the very regions that grow the world’s rice, sugar, and oilseeds.
The World Bank warns openly that a strong El Niño “could disrupt multiple crop belts simultaneously” on top of the conflict-driven input costs. Their baseline projection assumes the Middle East disruptions ease by autumn. What in the last two years of Middle East history suggests that assumption is safe?
The System Has No Slack Left
The comfortable answer is that global markets always adjust. But adjustment requires slack, and the slack is gone. Global cereal production is expected to decline from last year’s records even before El Niño does its work. The UN World Food Programme, hardly a den of right-wing preppers, is calling this the most significant disruption to its supply chains since Covid and the invasion of Ukraine, and its supply chain director put the stakes bluntly.
Today’s supply chain challenges are tomorrow’s hunger crisis.
There is also a political dimension that markets cannot price. When food gets scarce, governments do not behave like economists. They behave like politicians. Export bans, hoarding mandates, and panic buying at the national level turned the modest rice shortfall of 2008 into a global crisis, and analysts are already warning that import-dependent nations are the first dominoes.
The 2015-16 Super El Niño, a far weaker event than what is now forecast, threw tens of millions into food stress across Africa and Asia. This one is projected to be stronger, and it arrives with fertilizer already rationed by price and shipping lanes already contested by missiles.
What Joseph Knew
Scripture does not treat preparation for lean years as faithlessness. It treats it as wisdom delivered in advance to those willing to act on it.
Behold, there come seven years of great plenty throughout all the land of Egypt: And there shall arise after them seven years of famine; and all the plenty shall be forgotten in the land of Egypt.
Joseph did not respond to that warning with a hashtag or a committee. He stored grain during the years of abundance, and when the famine came, Egypt stood while its neighbors begged. The lesson is not that famine is certain. It is that the time to prepare is precisely when preparation still looks optional.
Nobody who filled a pantry in a year of plenty has ever regretted it, and nobody standing in an empty aisle has ever been glad he waited for certainty.
None of this calls for panic, and panic is the enemy of sound judgment anyway. It calls for the same unglamorous prudence our grandparents considered ordinary. Keep some cash margin, know your local growers, and put real food in deep storage while it is cheap and available, because the entire arc of this story is that cheap and available is a closing window.
Families looking for a straightforward place to start can visit Heaven’s Harvest and use promo code Patriot for 15 percent off long-term storable food. The forecasts may yet soften, the strait may yet reopen, and we should pray they do. But hope is a fine thing to hold and a foolish thing to eat.
Even the ever non-political Amish have had enough of the lying thieving democrat Marxists. Trump/Vance 2024! America First! ULTRAMAGA!