(Scott Greer via Revolver)—Kamala Harris knows black men aren’t thrilled with her campaign. Polls show that a lower percentage of this demographic wants to vote for Harris than past Democrats. Kamala sent out Barack Obama to chastise the “brothers” for not being motivated to vote for a woman. Other surrogates and liberal outlets lament Trump’s relative popularity among black men.
This has prompted a shift in the campaign. No longer is Kamala pretending to be a centrist, moving beyond identity politics. Now she’s trying to be like Al Sharpton and promise black voters that she will dole out exclusive benefits to them—so long as they vote for her.
When Kamala began her campaign, she tried to portray herself as a middle-of-the-road politician. She believed in strong borders (ignore her open border record). She was for boosting American energy (ignore her past support for radical environmentalism). And, most importantly, she was moving beyond “woke” (ignore her past support for reparations and eliminating Columbus Day).
Her acceptance speech at the DNC emphasized her moderate pitch, appealing more to the middle class than to identity politics.
The media fell for this act, gushing over how Kamala, who would “make history” with her various identities, eschewed identity politics. NPR fawningly noted last month how Kamala doesn’t talk about her identity and focuses on the broader middle class. Politico praised her in August for sidestepping the issue and pledging to be “for all Americans.” MSNBC declared her avoiding race and gender the smart political move.
But that’s no longer Kamala’s strategy, as the “Opportunity Agenda for Black Men” indicates. This policy is identity politics on steroids. Here are the five points of the plan:
- Providing 1 million loans that are fully forgivable to Black entrepreneurs and others to start a business.
- Championing education, training, and mentorship programs that help Black men get good-paying jobs in high-demand industries and lead their communities, including pathways to become teachers.
- Supporting a regulatory framework for cryptocurrency and other digital assets so Black men who invest in and own these assets are protected.
- Launching a National Health Equity Initiative focused on Black Men that addresses sickle cell disease, diabetes, mental health, prostate cancer, and other health challenges that disproportionately impact them.
- Legalizing recreational marijuana and creating opportunities for Black Americans to succeed in this new industry
Along with this plan, she’s entertaining reparations once again, telling popular black radio host Lenard Larry McKelvey, aka “Charlamagne tha God,” that she will look into it as president.
She’s also trotting out the Central Park Five—five black men who went to jail for the assault and rape of a white woman—to show how dangerous Trump is for blacks. The Five, whose innocence is dubious, claim in a new ad that Trump wanted them executed simply for the color of their skin.
It is very funny what she thinks will win over black men. The plan is to give them generous loans, support their crypto investments, and legalize weed. It’s not even attempting to offer them any higher ideal for their vote. It’s simply appealing to a caricature and hoping it works. It envisions that black men simply want more goodies from the government and legal weed. It’s an understandable yet brazen pitch. Kamala might as well propose free menthol cigarettes while she’s at it. (Appropriately, the Biden administration continues to delay a menthol cigarette ban to avoid alienating black voters.)
Will this be enough to excite black voters for Kamala? Probably not.
The real issue for Harris is her personality. People don’t like her. She’s inauthentic; she flip-flops all the time, and she’s extremely awkward in the public eye. She doesn’t have what it takes to excite black voters. They’ve already had a black president. A second one isn’t that inspiring anymore. Kamala muddies her identity by also insisting she’s Indian. Obama didn’t go out there and talk about his white identity. He was just black, and that’s what black voters would prefer. Kamala’s multiracial identity further cements her chameleon reputation. She’ll change who she is depending on the audience. Many blacks don’t like this.
Her campaign itself has also centered itself around college-educated white women. We had the “brat” theme, then the childless cat lady debate, and then the Taylor Swift endorsement, complete with press releases entirely in Swift lyrics. The focus on this demographic has paid dividends for the Harris campaign, as polls indicate she’s set to win a record number of college-educated whites. However, this pitch leaves other voters feeling left out. Black dudes seem to not be thrilled with the high-caste Brat.
This strategy may still be enough to win Kamala the election. It would be an important change in politics if Democrats win the college-educated white vote by double digits while Republicans finally get double-digit black support. It’s a smart trade-off for Team Blue. But I doubt the results will be that good for them. Otherwise, they wouldn’t be melting down over the lack of black enthusiasm. Democrats need high black turnout to win elections. Running up the score in suburban blue enclaves won’t win them battleground states with significantly black cities.
Whatever happens, Kamala’s black men plan should dispel delusions that she’s some kind of moderate. She may have no principles besides her own advancement, but whenever she’s forced to make decisions, she comes down on the far left. Look at her career as a district attorney and attorney general. Look at her Senate record and 2020 campaign. Just look at what she’s done as vice president. She’s a conniving leftist who will accelerate the Great Replacement and make America look more like California.
The true sensible moderate in this election is Donald Trump. Only a fool would fall for Kamala’s ever-shifting pitch.
Scott Greer hosts the Highly Respected Podcast.
Two Storms, One Harvest
Every food crisis in living memory has been a one-shock event. The 2008 price spike was a commodity bubble. The 2020 shortages were a logistics failure. The 2022 grain scare was a war on one exporter’s ports. Each time, the system bent, adjusted, and recovered, and each time the experts assured us afterward that global markets are simply too big and too diversified to fail.
What nobody in Washington seems eager to discuss is that 2026 is shaping up to be something the modern food system has never actually faced. Two independent shocks, one climatic and one geopolitical, are converging on the same harvest cycle at the same time. Not sequentially. Simultaneously.
Start with the weather. The Pacific Ocean is currently building toward what forecasters now openly call a record event. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center puts the odds of at least a strong El Niño near 88 percent, with roughly two in three odds it reaches “very strong” status, the tier reserved for perhaps three or four events in the entire satellite era. Every major global model now projects a median peak in Super El Niño territory, and most of them project it exceeding the 2015-16 event, which until now held the modern record. Sea surface anomalies were already brushing the super threshold in mid-July, months before these events normally peak. The atmosphere has already shifted into El Niño mode, and the event is forecast to crest in late fall and early winter.
This is not about “climate change.” It’s about the standard cycles of weather, and the cycle we’re currently in is one that has likely devastated societies in the past. We’re better prepared as a society today, but not all Americans are equally prepared.
Serious households have started doing the quiet math on their own. Grocery bills tell part of the story, and the forecast maps tell the rest, which is why long-term food storage has moved from fringe hobby to mainstream line item in the family budget, with established suppliers like Heaven’s Harvest seeing demand from people who five years ago would have rolled their eyes at the idea. That instinct is not paranoia. It is pattern recognition, and the pattern is worth walking through carefully.
Editor’s Note: Heaven’s Harvest IS a sponsor, but the warnings of this article are real and would be written even if we didn’t have a survival food sponsor. With that said, those who take advantage of what they offer can use promo code “Patriot” for 15% off.
The Fertilizer Clock Is Already Running
While the Pacific warms, the second shock has been unfolding in the Strait of Hormuz. The conflict with Iran turned the world’s most important energy chokepoint into a contested waterway, and the consequences reach far beyond the gas pump. Roughly a third of global fertilizer trade moves through Hormuz, and the disruption sent urea prices up 86 percent year over year by March, with a 53 percent jump in a single month.
The World Bank projects energy prices rising about 24 percent in 2026 and fertilizer about 31 percent. By its own accounting, fertilizer prices ran 35 percent higher in the first five months of this year than the same period last year.
Here is the mechanism the nightly news will not explain. Fertilizer is not a grocery item. It is a time-delayed input. The nitrogen a farmer in Iowa or Punjab could not afford to apply this spring does not show up as a problem this spring. It shows up as a thinner harvest six to twelve months later.
The World Bank’s own food security brief concedes that the effects of reduced applications earlier this season “are likely to become visible only later in harvest outcomes.” Translate that from institutional language into plain English and it means this. The damage is already done, it is already in the ground, and we are simply waiting for it to arrive on the shelf.
Now check the calendar. Six to twelve months from the spring planting season lands us squarely in late 2026 and early 2027. Which is precisely when the strongest El Niño in the instrumental record is forecast to peak, bringing its signature droughts to Southeast Asia, Australia, southern Africa, northern Brazil, and South Asia, the very regions that grow the world’s rice, sugar, and oilseeds.
The World Bank warns openly that a strong El Niño “could disrupt multiple crop belts simultaneously” on top of the conflict-driven input costs. Their baseline projection assumes the Middle East disruptions ease by autumn. What in the last two years of Middle East history suggests that assumption is safe?
The System Has No Slack Left
The comfortable answer is that global markets always adjust. But adjustment requires slack, and the slack is gone. Global cereal production is expected to decline from last year’s records even before El Niño does its work. The UN World Food Programme, hardly a den of right-wing preppers, is calling this the most significant disruption to its supply chains since Covid and the invasion of Ukraine, and its supply chain director put the stakes bluntly.
Today’s supply chain challenges are tomorrow’s hunger crisis.
There is also a political dimension that markets cannot price. When food gets scarce, governments do not behave like economists. They behave like politicians. Export bans, hoarding mandates, and panic buying at the national level turned the modest rice shortfall of 2008 into a global crisis, and analysts are already warning that import-dependent nations are the first dominoes.
The 2015-16 Super El Niño, a far weaker event than what is now forecast, threw tens of millions into food stress across Africa and Asia. This one is projected to be stronger, and it arrives with fertilizer already rationed by price and shipping lanes already contested by missiles.
What Joseph Knew
Scripture does not treat preparation for lean years as faithlessness. It treats it as wisdom delivered in advance to those willing to act on it.
Behold, there come seven years of great plenty throughout all the land of Egypt: And there shall arise after them seven years of famine; and all the plenty shall be forgotten in the land of Egypt.
Joseph did not respond to that warning with a hashtag or a committee. He stored grain during the years of abundance, and when the famine came, Egypt stood while its neighbors begged. The lesson is not that famine is certain. It is that the time to prepare is precisely when preparation still looks optional.
Nobody who filled a pantry in a year of plenty has ever regretted it, and nobody standing in an empty aisle has ever been glad he waited for certainty.
None of this calls for panic, and panic is the enemy of sound judgment anyway. It calls for the same unglamorous prudence our grandparents considered ordinary. Keep some cash margin, know your local growers, and put real food in deep storage while it is cheap and available, because the entire arc of this story is that cheap and available is a closing window.
Families looking for a straightforward place to start can visit Heaven’s Harvest and use promo code Patriot for 15 percent off long-term storable food. The forecasts may yet soften, the strait may yet reopen, and we should pray they do. But hope is a fine thing to hold and a foolish thing to eat.
